Matchup Machine

Gabriel Moreno

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matchup for Martin Perez

406th out of 436 (Worst 7%)

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Martin Perez

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matchup for Gabriel Moreno

75th out of 567 (Best 14%)

Extreme advantage for Moreno
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Model Prediction

Gabriel Moreno has a 38.8% chance of reaching base vs Martin Perez, which is 3.1% higher than Moreno's typical expectations, and 4.2% higher than batters facing Perez.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction38.8%26.6%2.7%5.1%18.9%12.2%14.9%
Moreno+3.1+3.4+0.5+0.2+2.7-0.3-4.3
Perez+4.2+1.3-0.4-0.3+2.0+2.9-3.5

Handedness and Release Point

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Gabriel Moreno is better vs left-handed pitching. Martin Perez is left handed with an over-the-top delivery. Moreno has an A grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Martin Perez throws a Sinker 34% of the time. Gabriel Moreno has an F grade against left-handed Sinkers

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    Sinker (L)
34%
   Changeup (L)
25%
   Cutter (L)
25%
   4-Seam (L)
8%
   Curve (L)
7%

Contact and Outcomes

9.6% of Gabriel Moreno's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 8.4% lower than the league average. Martin Perez strikes out 11.9% of the batters he faces, which is 6.1% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 17%         Strikeout -8.4% -6.1% 3%         Walk +4.2% -0.3% 38%         In Play +4.2% +6.4% 39%         On Base +9.1% +5.9% 31%         Hit +5.0% +6.3% 14%         Single +2.5% +3.5% 13%         2B / 3B +2.9% +3.3% 3%         Home Run -0.5% -0.6%

History

Gabriel Moreno has 3 plate appearances against Martin Perez in the last 3 years. He is 1 for 2 with a double and a walk

PA AB H HR 2/3B 1B K BB Avg
Actual321010110.500
Expected From Contact →0.960.760.180.020.480
Expected From Contact
Date Outcome HR 2/3B 1B Out
2024-09-29Walk
2024-09-29Double76%18%2%4%
2023-10-28Strikeout

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.