Matchup Machine

Alejandro Kirk

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matchup for Garrett Crochet

416th out of 436 (Worst 5%)

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Garrett Crochet

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matchup for Alejandro Kirk

513th out of 567 (Worst 10%)

Moderate advantage for Kirk
4

Model Prediction

Alejandro Kirk has a 32.0% chance of reaching base vs Garrett Crochet, which is 3.6% lower than Kirk's typical expectations, and 4.5% higher than batters facing Crochet.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction32.0%25.6%2.4%6.3%16.8%6.4%23.1%
Kirk-3.6-1.4-0.1+0.6-1.9-2.2+8.8
Crochet+4.5+4.60.0+1.2+3.4-0.1-12.2

Handedness and Release Point

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Alejandro Kirk is a bit worse vs left-handed pitching. Garrett Crochet is left handed with an extreme release toward the first base side. Kirk has an A grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Garrett Crochet throws a 4-seam fastball 58% of the time. Alejandro Kirk has a D+ grade against left-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    4-Seam (L)
58%
   Cutter (L)
18%
   Slider (L)
16%
   Changeup (L)
6%

Contact and Outcomes

7.8% of Alejandro Kirk's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 11.5% lower than the league average. Garrett Crochet strikes out 21.3% of the batters he faces, which is 9.4% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 19%         Strikeout -11.5% +9.4% 4%         Walk +1.0% -1.3% 35%         In Play +10.5% -8.1% 39%         On Base +5.4% -3.9% 31%         Hit +4.4% -2.5% 14%         Single +2.3% -1.4% 13%         2B / 3B +2.7% -1.1% 3%         Home Run -0.6% +0.1%

History

No History in the last 3 years