Matchup Machine | Ballpark Pal

Gabriel Arias

matchup for Zach Brzykcy

18th out of 436 (Best 5%)

Zach Brzykcy

matchup for Gabriel Arias

out of 567 (Worst %)

Leans in favor of Brzykcy

Gabriel Arias has a 30.5% chance of reaching base vs Zach Brzykcy, which is 2.8% higher than Arias's typical expectations, and 4.4% lower than batters facing Brzykcy.

	Reach	Hit	HR	2B / 3B	1B	BB	K
Prediction	30.5%	22.3%	2.8%	5.2%	14.3%	8.2%	33.0%
Arias	+2.8	+1.0	+0.2	+0.3	+0.4	+1.8	-0.7
Brzykcy	-4.4	-1.1	-0.3	-0.9	+0.1	-3.3	+11.3

Gabriel Arias is much better vs right-handed pitching. Zach Brzykcy is right handed with an over-the-top delivery. Arias has a B grade vs this particular release point.

Zach Brzykcy throws a 4-seam fastball 56% of the time. Gabriel Arias has an A grade against right-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type

% of Arsenal

4-Seam (R)

56%

Curve (R)

23%

Changeup (R)

21%

27% of Zach Brzykcy's pitches are classified as Likely Balls, which is 8% higher than the MLB average. Gabriel Arias has a D grade against this type of pitch.

Show pitch label key

Pitch Label

% vs MLB

Likely Ball 27%

+8%

Meatball 8%

+2%

Mid Challenge 12%

+0%

Edge Painter 17%

+0%

Strong Challenge 5%

Non-Competitive 13%

Chaser 5%

-1%

Weak Challenge 6%

-2%

Fringe Miss 9%

-4%

50% of Zach Brzykcy's pitches are classified as Medium Break Toward Third Base, which is 31% higher than the MLB average. Gabriel Arias has an A grade against this type of pitch.

Physical Trait

% vs MLB

Medium Break 50%

+31%

High Ride 37%

+26%

Fast Velo 30%

+15%

Offspeed (R) 21%

+10%

19.7% of Gabriel Arias's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 8.5% higher than the league average. Zach Brzykcy strikes out 12.7% of the batters he faces, which is 9.3% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

11%

Strikeout +8.5% -9.3% 5%

Walk -2.3% +2.7% 42%

In Play -6.2% +6.6% 39%

On Base -3.7% +16.4% 31%

Hit -1.4% +13.7% 14%

Single -1.2% +4.3% 13%

2B / 3B -0.7% +4.7% 3%

Home Run +0.5% +4.6%

42.3% of Gabriel Arias's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 7.9% higher than the league average. Zach Brzykcy induces Standard Grounders at a 17.0% rate, which is 17.4% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

Squib/Bunt +2.3% -0.8% 34%

Standard Grounder +7.9% -17.4% 7%

Hard Grounder -1.2% +2.4% 14%

Low Screamer -6.4% -2.9% 9%

Rising Liner +1.9% +0.9% 4%

Maybe Homer -4.1% +0.3% 3%

Likely Homer -0.1% +7.4% 1%

No Doubter -1.2% -1.2% 20%

Routine Flyout -0.2% +14.7% 3%

Pop up +1.0% -3.4%

23.3% of Gabriel Arias's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 1.0% lower than the league average. 27.1% of batted balls allowed by Zach Brzykcy are hit at above 100 mph, which is 2.8% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Below 75 mph +5.5% -11.7% 21%

75 to 86 mph -1.8% 0.0% 18%

87 to 93 mph -3.2% +0.6% 19%

94 to 99 mph +0.4% +8.2% 24%

Above 100 mph -1.0% +2.8%

10.2% of Gabriel Arias's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 1.3% lower than the league average. 29.3% of batted balls allowed by Zach Brzykcy are hit at this angle, which is 17.9% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%