matchup for S. Woods Rich.
1
Gabriel Arias has a 30.5% chance of reaching base vs Simeon Woods Rich., which is 2.9% higher than Arias's typical expectations, and 3.5% lower than batters facing Woods Rich..
| Reach | Hit | HR | 2B / 3B | 1B | BB | K | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Prediction | 30.5% | 23.2% | 3.1% | 5.8% | 14.3% | 7.3% | 29.8% |
| Arias | +2.9 | +2.4 | +0.7 | +0.8 | +0.9 | +0.5 | -4.8 |
| Woods Rich. | -3.5 | -1.3 | -0.3 | +0.7 | -1.8 | -2.2 | +8.1 |
Gabriel Arias is much better vs right-handed pitching. Simeon Woods Rich. is right handed with an over-the-top delivery. Arias has a C grade vs this particular release point.
Simeon Woods Rich. throws a 4-seam fastball 40% of the time. Gabriel Arias has an A- grade against right-handed 4-seamers
Pitch Type
% of Arsenal
4-Seam (R)
40%
Slider (R)
30%
Changeup (R)
20%
Curve (R)
9%
8% of Simeon Woods Rich.'s pitches are classified as Meatballs, which is 2% higher than the MLB average. Gabriel Arias hasn't faced this type of pitch very often.
Pitch Label
% vs MLB
Meatball
8%
+2%
Mid Challenge
12%
+1%
Likely Ball
20%
+1%
Fringe Miss
13%
+1%
Chaser
6%
0%
Edge Painter
17%
-1%
Strong Challenge
4%
-1%
Weak Challenge
8%
-1%
Non-Competitive
10%
-3%
21% of Simeon Woods Rich.'s pitches are classified as Medium Break Toward Third Base, which is 11% higher than the MLB average. Gabriel Arias has an F grade against this type of pitch.
Physical Trait
% vs MLB
Medium Break
21%
+11%
High Ride
20%
+10%
Offspeed (R)
20%
+8%
Breaking (R)
39%
+8%
19.7% of Gabriel Arias's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 8.5% higher than the league average. Simeon Woods Rich. strikes out 13.2% of the batters he faces, which is 3.2% lower than the typical MLB rate.
11%
Strikeout
+8.5%
-3.2%
5%
Walk
-2.3%
+1.0%
42%
In Play
-6.2%
+2.2%
39%
On Base
-4.0%
+4.1%
31%
Hit
-1.6%
+3.1%
14%
Single
-1.3%
+0.8%
13%
2B / 3B
-0.8%
+1.2%
3%
Home Run
+0.5%
+1.0%
42.6% of Gabriel Arias's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 8.2% higher than the league average. Simeon Woods Rich. induces Standard Grounders at a 33.0% rate, which is 1.4% lower than the typical MLB rate.
0%
Squib/Bunt
+2.3%
-0.6%
34%
Standard Grounder
+8.2%
-1.4%
7%
Hard Grounder
-0.6%
-3.1%
14%
Low Screamer
-6.6%
+0.5%
9%
Rising Liner
+1.9%
-1.9%
4%
Maybe Homer
-4.1%
+1.5%
3%
Likely Homer
-0.2%
-0.1%
1%
No Doubter
-1.2%
+0.4%
20%
Routine Flyout
-0.7%
+2.2%
3%
Pop up
+0.9%
+2.5%
23.5% of Gabriel Arias's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 0.8% lower than the league average. 17.6% of batted balls allowed by Simeon Woods Rich. are hit at above 100 mph, which is 6.7% lower than the typical MLB rate.
16%
Below 75 mph
+5.5%
-1.3%
21%
75 to 86 mph
-1.2%
-1.3%
18%
87 to 93 mph
-3.5%
+3.1%
19%
94 to 99 mph
+0.0%
+6.2%
24%
Above 100 mph
-0.8%
-6.7%
9.9% of Gabriel Arias's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 1.5% lower than the league average. 12.8% of batted balls allowed by Simeon Woods Rich. are hit at this angle, which is 1.3% higher than the typical MLB rate.
17%
Below -10°
+11.1%
-6.3%
12%
-10 to 0°
+6.5%
-0.3%
8%
1 to 6°
-5.7%
-2.6%
18%
7 to 18°
-3.3%
+1.1%
15%
19 to 28°
-5.4%
+1.7%
11%
29 to 38°
-1.5%
+1.3%
7%
39 to 50°
-5.0%
+2.5%
8%
Above 50°
+3.4%
+2.6%
Gabriel Arias has 2 plate appearances against Simeon Woods Rich. in the last 3 years. He is 0 for 2.
| PA | AB | H | HR | 2/3B | 1B | K | BB | Avg | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.000 |
| Expected From Contact → | 0.20 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.19 | 0.098 | ||||
| Expected From Contact | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Date | Outcome | HR | 2/3B | 1B | Out |
| 2024-05-17 | Groundout | 16% | 84% | ||
| 2024-05-17 | Groundout | 4% | 96% | ||
Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.
