Matchup Machine

Gabriel Arias

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matchup for Max Meyer

38th out of 436 (Best 9%)

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Max Meyer

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matchup for Gabriel Arias

137th out of 567 (Best 25%)

Leans in favor of Meyer
2

Model Prediction

Gabriel Arias has a 29.9% chance of reaching base vs Max Meyer, which is 2.2% higher than Arias's typical expectations, and 3.0% lower than batters facing Meyer.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction29.9%23.0%2.7%5.4%14.9%6.9%29.5%
Arias+2.2+1.7+0.1+0.5+1.0+0.5-4.2
Meyer-3.0+0.1-0.5+0.2+0.4-3.1+9.6

Handedness and Release Point

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Gabriel Arias is much better vs right-handed pitching. Max Meyer is right handed with an over-the-top delivery. Arias has a B grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Max Meyer throws a Slider 39% of the time. Gabriel Arias has a C- grade against right-handed Sliders

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    Slider (R)
39%
   4-Seam (R)
36%
   Changeup (R)
17%

Contact and Outcomes

19.7% of Gabriel Arias's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 8.5% higher than the league average. Max Meyer strikes out 14.6% of the batters he faces, which is 3.9% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 11%         Strikeout +8.5% -3.9% 5%         Walk -2.3% -0.1% 42%         In Play -6.2% +4.0% 39%         On Base -3.7% -0.7% 31%         Hit -1.4% -0.6% 14%         Single -1.2% -1.6% 13%         2B / 3B -0.7% -1.2% 3%         Home Run +0.5% +2.2%

History

No History in the last 3 years