Matchup Machine

Gabriel Arias

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matchup for Adrian Morejon

35th out of 436 (Best 9%)

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Adrian Morejon

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matchup for Gabriel Arias

369th out of 567 (Worst 35%)

Strong advantage for Morejon
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Model Prediction

Gabriel Arias has a 27.2% chance of reaching base vs Adrian Morejon, which is 0.5% lower than Arias's typical expectations, and 3.3% lower than batters facing Morejon.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction27.2%21.0%2.3%4.5%14.2%6.2%35.7%
Arias-0.5-0.4-0.3-0.4+0.3-0.2+2.0
Morejon-3.3-1.1-0.1+0.1-1.1-2.2+10.8

Handedness and Release Point

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Gabriel Arias is much worse vs left-handed pitching. Adrian Morejon is left handed with a horizontal release toward the first base side. Arias doesn't have many appearances against this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Adrian Morejon throws a 4-seam fastball 43% of the time. Gabriel Arias has an F grade against left-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    4-Seam (L)
43%
   Slider (L)
21%
   Sinker (L)
18%
   Curve (L)
9%
   Changeup (L)
6%

Contact and Outcomes

19.7% of Gabriel Arias's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 8.5% higher than the league average. Adrian Morejon strikes out 17.5% of the batters he faces, which is 1.9% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 11%         Strikeout +8.5% +1.9% 5%         Walk -2.3% -0.8% 42%         In Play -6.2% -1.2% 39%         On Base -3.7% -0.4% 31%         Hit -1.4% +0.4% 14%         Single -1.2% +0.1% 13%         2B / 3B -0.7% +0.4% 3%         Home Run +0.5% -0.1%

History

No History in the last 3 years