Matchup Machine | Ballpark Pal

Gabriel Arias

matchup for Alex Speas

10th out of 436 (Best 3%)

Alex Speas

matchup for Gabriel Arias

out of 567 (Worst %)

Strong advantage for Speas

Gabriel Arias has a 27.8% chance of reaching base vs Alex Speas, which is 0.1% higher than Arias's typical expectations, and 6.1% lower than batters facing Speas.

	Reach	Hit	HR	2B / 3B	1B	BB	K
Prediction	27.8%	19.3%	2.2%	4.7%	12.3%	8.5%	35.5%
Arias	+0.1	-2.1	-0.3	-0.2	-1.6	+2.1	+1.9
Speas	-6.1	-1.9	-0.3	-0.4	-1.1	-4.3	+11.1

Gabriel Arias is much better vs right-handed pitching. Alex Speas is right handed with a moderate release toward the third base side. Arias has an A- grade vs this particular release point.

Alex Speas throws a Cutter 77% of the time. Gabriel Arias hasn't faced this pitch from right handers very often

Pitch Type

% of Arsenal

Cutter (R)

77%

4-Seam (R)

19%

12% of Alex Speas's pitches are classified as Weak Challenges, which is 3% higher than the MLB average. Gabriel Arias has an A+ grade against this type of pitch.

Show pitch label key

Pitch Label

% vs MLB

Weak Challenge 12%

+3%

Fringe Miss 15%

+3%

Likely Ball 22%

+3%

Non-Competitive 15%

+3%

Strong Challenge 7%

+2%

Chaser 7%

+1%

Edge Painter 13%

-4%

Mid Challenge 4%

-7%

96% of Alex Speas's pitches are classified as Fastball Pitches, which is 42% higher than the MLB average. Gabriel Arias has a B+ grade against this type of pitch from right handers.

Physical Trait

% vs MLB

Fastball (R) 96%

+42%

Minimal Break 38%

+28%

Small Drop 36%

+23%

Medium Velo 27%

+17%

19.7% of Gabriel Arias's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 8.5% higher than the league average. Alex Speas strikes out 24.0% of the batters he faces, which is 19.9% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

11%

Strikeout +8.5% +19.9% 5%

Walk -2.3% -0.6% 42%

In Play -6.2% -19.3% 39%

On Base -3.7% -8.2% 31%

Hit -1.4% -7.6% 14%

Single -1.2% -5.7% 13%

2B / 3B -0.7% -5.2% 3%

Home Run +0.5% +3.3%

42.3% of Gabriel Arias's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 7.9% higher than the league average. Alex Speas induces Standard Grounders at a 22.2% rate, which is 12.2% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

Squib/Bunt +2.3% -0.8% 34%

Standard Grounder +7.9% -12.2% 7%

Hard Grounder -1.2% -7.8% 14%

Low Screamer -6.4% +9.7% 9%

Rising Liner +1.9% +5.2% 4%

Maybe Homer -4.1% -4.3% 3%

Likely Homer -0.1% +10.2% 1%

No Doubter -1.2% -1.2% 20%

Routine Flyout -0.2% -7.4% 3%

Pop up +1.0% +8.5%

23.3% of Gabriel Arias's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 1.0% lower than the league average. 13.8% of batted balls allowed by Alex Speas are hit at above 100 mph, which is 10.5% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Below 75 mph +5.5% +8.4% 21%

75 to 86 mph -1.8% -9.3% 18%

87 to 93 mph -3.2% +6.8% 19%

94 to 99 mph +0.4% +4.6% 24%

Above 100 mph -1.0% -10.5%

10.2% of Gabriel Arias's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 1.3% lower than the league average. 25.7% of batted balls allowed by Alex Speas are hit at this angle, which is 14.2% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%