Matchup Machine | Ballpark Pal

Gabriel Arias

matchup for Brady Singer

27th out of 436 (Best 7%)

Brady Singer

matchup for Gabriel Arias

214th out of 567 (Best 39%)

Moderate advantage for Singer

Gabriel Arias has a 29.0% chance of reaching base vs Brady Singer, which is 1.3% higher than Arias's typical expectations, and 4.5% lower than batters facing Singer.

	Reach	Hit	HR	2B / 3B	1B	BB	K
Prediction	29.0%	22.9%	2.7%	5.3%	14.9%	6.1%	33.7%
Arias	+1.3	+1.6	+0.2	+0.4	+1.0	-0.3	0.0
Singer	-4.5	-1.0	+0.0	-0.1	-0.9	-3.6	+11.0

Gabriel Arias is much better vs right-handed pitching. Brady Singer is right handed with an over-the-top delivery. Arias has a B grade vs this particular release point.

Brady Singer throws a Sinker 50% of the time. Gabriel Arias has a C grade against right-handed Sinkers

Pitch Type

% of Arsenal

Sinker (R)

50%

Slider (R)

41%

11% of Brady Singer's pitches are classified as Weak Challenges, which is 3% higher than the MLB average. Gabriel Arias has an A+ grade against this type of pitch.

Show pitch label key

Pitch Label

% vs MLB

Weak Challenge 11%

+3%

Edge Painter 18%

+0%

Meatball 6%

+0%

Chaser 6%

+0%

Fringe Miss 13%

+0%

Mid Challenge 11%

-1%

Likely Ball 19%

-1%

Non-Competitive 12%

-1%

Strong Challenge 4%

-1%

40% of Brady Singer's pitches are classified as Low Ride, which is 16% higher than the MLB average. Gabriel Arias has a B grade against this type of pitch.

Physical Trait

% vs MLB

Low Ride 40%

+16%

Medium Fast Velo 29%

+14%

Small Break 23%

+12%

Breaking (R) 41%

+11%

19.7% of Gabriel Arias's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 8.5% higher than the league average. Brady Singer strikes out 15.1% of the batters he faces, which is 0.5% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

11%

Strikeout +8.5% -0.5% 5%

Walk -2.3% -0.6% 42%

In Play -6.2% +1.1% 39%

On Base -3.7% +0.9% 31%

Hit -1.4% +1.5% 14%

Single -1.2% +0.6% 13%

2B / 3B -0.7% +1.0% 3%

Home Run +0.5% -0.1%

42.3% of Gabriel Arias's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 7.9% higher than the league average. Brady Singer induces Standard Grounders at a 37.0% rate, which is 2.6% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

Squib/Bunt +2.3% +0.1% 34%

Standard Grounder +7.9% +2.6% 7%

Hard Grounder -1.2% +5.3% 14%

Low Screamer -6.4% -0.6% 9%

Rising Liner +1.9% +1.6% 4%

Maybe Homer -4.1% -1.7% 3%

Likely Homer -0.1% +0.5% 1%

No Doubter -1.2% -0.3% 20%

Routine Flyout -0.2% -6.5% 3%

Pop up +1.0% -1.0%

23.3% of Gabriel Arias's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 1.0% lower than the league average. 30.7% of batted balls allowed by Brady Singer are hit at above 100 mph, which is 6.4% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Below 75 mph +5.5% -1.5% 21%

75 to 86 mph -1.8% -1.1% 18%

87 to 93 mph -3.2% -4.4% 19%

94 to 99 mph +0.4% +0.7% 24%

Above 100 mph -1.0% +6.4%

10.2% of Gabriel Arias's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 1.3% lower than the league average. 7.6% of batted balls allowed by Brady Singer are hit at this angle, which is 3.8% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%

Below -10° +10.6% +2.3% 12%

-10 to 0° +6.3% +3.3% 8%

1 to 6° -5.9% +2.2% 18%

7 to 18° -3.3% +0.9% 15%

19 to 28° -5.1% +0.1% 11%

29 to 38° -1.3% -3.8% 7%

39 to 50° -4.9% -2.6% 8%

Above 50° +3.7% -2.4%

Gabriel Arias has 6 plate appearances against Brady Singer in the last 3 years. He is 2 for 6 with a home run and

	PA	AB	H	HR	2/3B	1B	K	BB	Avg
Actual	6	6	2	1	0	1	1	0	0.333
Expected From Contact →			1.38	0.49	0.34	0.54			0.230

		Expected From Contact
Date	Outcome	HR	2/3B	1B	Out
2023-09-18	Sac Fly				100%
2023-09-18	Strikeout
2023-09-18	Home Run	49%	29%	1%	20%
2022-09-30	Single			23%	77%
2022-09-30	Groundout		5%	30%	65%
2022-09-30	Hit By Pitch

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.

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Model Prediction

Handedness and Release Point

Click on a grade for a detailed view

On the Way to the Plate

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Contact and Outcomes

History

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Model Prediction

Handedness and Release Point

Click on a grade for a detailed view

On the Way to the Plate

Click on a grade for a detailed view

Contact and Outcomes

History

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