Matchup Machine | Ballpark Pal

Gabriel Arias

matchup for Elvin Rodriguez

31st out of 436 (Best 8%)

Elvin Rodriguez

matchup for Gabriel Arias

out of 567 (Worst %)

Leans in favor of Arias

Gabriel Arias has a 31.6% chance of reaching base vs Elvin Rodriguez, which is 3.9% higher than Arias's typical expectations, and 3.7% lower than batters facing Rodriguez.

	Reach	Hit	HR	2B / 3B	1B	BB	K
Prediction	31.6%	23.4%	2.6%	5.9%	14.8%	8.2%	31.1%
Arias	+3.9	+2.1	+0.1	+1.0	+1.0	+1.8	-2.6
Rodriguez	-3.7	-1.2	-0.4	0.0	-0.8	-2.4	+9.4

Gabriel Arias is much better vs right-handed pitching. Elvin Rodriguez is right handed .

Elvin Rodriguez throws a 4-seam fastball 51% of the time. Gabriel Arias has an A grade against right-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type

% of Arsenal

4-Seam (R)

51%

Slider (R)

21%

Changeup (R)

13%

Curve (R)

12%

9% of Elvin Rodriguez's pitches are classified as Meatballs, which is 3% higher than the MLB average. Gabriel Arias hasn't faced this type of pitch very often.

Show pitch label key

Pitch Label

% vs MLB

Meatball 9%

+3%

Edge Painter 19%

+2%

Non-Competitive 14%

+1%

Mid Challenge 12%

+1%

Chaser 7%

+1%

Likely Ball 18%

-1%

Fringe Miss 11%

-1%

Strong Challenge 3%

-2%

Weak Challenge 4%

-4%

35% of Elvin Rodriguez's pitches are classified as Medium Fast Velocity, which is 20% higher than the MLB average. Gabriel Arias has a D- grade against this type of pitch.

Physical Trait

% vs MLB

Medium Fast Velo 35%

+20%

High Ride 30%

+20%

Medium Break 30%

+10%

19.7% of Gabriel Arias's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 8.5% higher than the league average. Elvin Rodriguez strikes out 16.4% of the batters he faces, which is 6.5% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

11%

Strikeout +8.5% +6.5% 5%

Walk -2.3% +4.1% 42%

In Play -6.2% -10.5% 39%

On Base -3.7% +8.4% 31%

Hit -1.4% +4.3% 14%

Single -1.2% +0.1% 13%

2B / 3B -0.7% +0.5% 3%

Home Run +0.5% +3.7%

42.3% of Gabriel Arias's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 7.9% higher than the league average. Elvin Rodriguez induces Standard Grounders at a 25.8% rate, which is 8.6% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

Squib/Bunt +2.3% +0.5% 34%

Standard Grounder +7.9% -8.6% 7%

Hard Grounder -1.2% +3.6% 14%

Low Screamer -6.4% +0.8% 9%

Rising Liner +1.9% -4.4% 4%

Maybe Homer -4.1% -1.2% 3%

Likely Homer -0.1% +5.7% 1%

No Doubter -1.2% +1.9% 20%

Routine Flyout -0.2% +0.7% 3%

Pop up +1.0% +0.9%

23.3% of Gabriel Arias's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 1.0% lower than the league average. 34.7% of batted balls allowed by Elvin Rodriguez are hit at above 100 mph, which is 10.4% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Below 75 mph +5.5% -7.8% 21%

75 to 86 mph -1.8% -0.5% 18%

87 to 93 mph -3.2% -2.9% 19%

94 to 99 mph +0.4% +0.8% 24%

Above 100 mph -1.0% +10.4%

10.2% of Gabriel Arias's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 1.3% lower than the league average. 15.4% of batted balls allowed by Elvin Rodriguez are hit at this angle, which is 3.9% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%