Matchup Machine | Ballpark Pal

Gabriel Arias

matchup for Carson Fulmer

38th out of 436 (Best 9%)

Carson Fulmer

matchup for Gabriel Arias

115th out of 567 (Best 21%)

Leans in favor of Fulmer

Gabriel Arias has a 30.0% chance of reaching base vs Carson Fulmer, which is 2.3% higher than Arias's typical expectations, and 3.4% lower than batters facing Fulmer.

	Reach	Hit	HR	2B / 3B	1B	BB	K
Prediction	30.0%	23.7%	3.0%	6.2%	14.4%	6.3%	31.3%
Arias	+2.3	+2.4	+0.5	+1.3	+0.6	-0.1	-2.4
Fulmer	-3.4	-0.1	-0.1	+0.7	-0.7	-3.3	+9.7

Gabriel Arias is much better vs right-handed pitching. Carson Fulmer is right handed with a horizontal release toward the third base side. Arias has a B grade vs this particular release point.

Carson Fulmer throws a 4-seam fastball 37% of the time. Gabriel Arias has an A grade against right-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type

% of Arsenal

4-Seam (R)

37%

Changeup (R)

20%

Cutter (R)

15%

Sinker (R)

11%

Curve (R)

Slider (R)

8% of Carson Fulmer's pitches are classified as Meatballs, which is 2% higher than the MLB average. Gabriel Arias hasn't faced this type of pitch very often.

Show pitch label key

Pitch Label

% vs MLB

Meatball 8%

+2%

Non-Competitive 14%

+1%

Likely Ball 20%

+1%

Chaser 7%

+0%

Fringe Miss 13%

+0%

Edge Painter 17%

-1%

Strong Challenge 4%

-1%

Weak Challenge 7%

-1%

Mid Challenge 9%

-2%

33% of Carson Fulmer's pitches are classified as Medium Fast Velocity, which is 18% higher than the MLB average. Gabriel Arias has a D- grade against this type of pitch.

Physical Trait

% vs MLB

Medium Fast Velo 33%

+18%

Offspeed (R) 20%

+9%

Fastball (R) 62%

+8%

19.7% of Gabriel Arias's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 8.5% higher than the league average. Carson Fulmer strikes out 13.9% of the batters he faces, which is 2.6% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

11%

Strikeout +8.5% -2.6% 5%

Walk -2.3% +2.5% 42%

In Play -6.2% +0.1% 39%

On Base -3.7% +3.9% 31%

Hit -1.4% +1.4% 14%

Single -1.2% +0.6% 13%

2B / 3B -0.7% +0.6% 3%

Home Run +0.5% +0.1%

42.3% of Gabriel Arias's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 7.9% higher than the league average. Carson Fulmer induces Standard Grounders at a 34.3% rate, which is 0.1% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

Squib/Bunt +2.3% -0.6% 34%

Standard Grounder +7.9% -0.1% 7%

Hard Grounder -1.2% +1.9% 14%

Low Screamer -6.4% -1.2% 9%

Rising Liner +1.9% -2.0% 4%

Maybe Homer -4.1% -0.6% 3%

Likely Homer -0.1% +0.9% 1%

No Doubter -1.2% +0.1% 20%

Routine Flyout -0.2% +3.9% 3%

Pop up +1.0% -2.4%

23.3% of Gabriel Arias's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 1.0% lower than the league average. 24.9% of batted balls allowed by Carson Fulmer are hit at above 100 mph, which is 0.6% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Below 75 mph +5.5% -4.1% 21%

75 to 86 mph -1.8% +1.1% 18%

87 to 93 mph -3.2% -1.3% 19%

94 to 99 mph +0.4% +3.7% 24%

Above 100 mph -1.0% +0.6%

10.2% of Gabriel Arias's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 1.3% lower than the league average. 11.5% of batted balls allowed by Carson Fulmer are hit at this angle, which is 0.0% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%