Matchup Machine | Ballpark Pal

Jarred Kelenic

matchup for Ryan Johnson

79th out of 436 (Best 19%)

Ryan Johnson

matchup for Jarred Kelenic

out of 567 (Worst %)

Moderate advantage for Kelenic

Jarred Kelenic has a 32.6% chance of reaching base vs Ryan Johnson, which is 3.4% higher than Kelenic's typical expectations, and 2.3% lower than batters facing Johnson.

	Reach	Hit	HR	2B / 3B	1B	BB	K
Prediction	32.6%	21.3%	3.3%	5.9%	12.0%	11.3%	28.1%
Kelenic	+3.4	+0.9	+0.3	+0.9	-0.3	+2.5	-4.5
Johnson	-2.3	-2.2	+0.3	-0.1	-2.4	-0.1	+8.2

Jarred Kelenic is slightly better vs right-handed pitching. Ryan Johnson is right handed .

Ryan Johnson throws a Cutter 62% of the time. Jarred Kelenic has a D grade against right-handed Cutters

Pitch Type

% of Arsenal

Cutter (R)

62%

Sinker (R)

18%

4-Seam (R)

Changeup (R)

21% of Ryan Johnson's pitches are classified as Non-Competitive, which is 8% higher than the MLB average. Jarred Kelenic has an A grade against this type of pitch.

Show pitch label key

Pitch Label

% vs MLB

Non-Competitive 21%

+8%

Edge Painter 24%

+6%

Strong Challenge 6%

+1%

Mid Challenge 12%

+1%

Weak Challenge 9%

+1%

Meatball 6%

Likely Ball 18%

-2%

Chaser 3%

-3%

Fringe Miss 3%

-10%

88% of Ryan Johnson's pitches are classified as Fastball Pitches, which is 35% higher than the MLB average. Jarred Kelenic has a B grade against this type of pitch from right handers.

Physical Trait

% vs MLB

Fastball (R) 88%

+35%

Just Gravity 41%

+28%

Medium Break 35%

+26%

Medium Slow Velo 38%

+25%

17.9% of Jarred Kelenic's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 5.6% higher than the league average. Ryan Johnson strikes out 10.0% of the batters he faces, which is 14.4% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

12%

Strikeout +5.6% -14.4% 5%

Walk -0.7% +2.1% 42%

In Play -4.9% +12.3% 39%

On Base -3.3% +6.0% 31%

Hit -2.6% +3.9% 14%

Single -1.9% -6.4% 13%

2B / 3B -1.4% -5.9% 3%

Home Run +0.6% +16.2%

32.0% of Jarred Kelenic's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 2.4% lower than the league average. Ryan Johnson induces Standard Grounders at a 25.3% rate, which is 9.1% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

Squib/Bunt +0.3% -0.8% 34%

Standard Grounder -2.4% -9.1% 7%

Hard Grounder +1.5% -7.8% 14%

Low Screamer -0.5% -15.0% 9%

Rising Liner -1.0% -9.6% 4%

Maybe Homer +0.5% -4.3% 3%

Likely Homer 0.0% +9.1% 1%

No Doubter +0.0% +11.5% 20%

Routine Flyout +0.2% -20.1% 3%

Pop up +1.4% +46.0%

22.7% of Jarred Kelenic's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 1.6% lower than the league average. 25.3% of batted balls allowed by Ryan Johnson are hit at above 100 mph, which is 1.0% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Below 75 mph +1.9% +8.5% 21%

75 to 86 mph +1.9% +16.1% 18%

87 to 93 mph -3.2% -18.9% 19%

94 to 99 mph +0.9% -6.8% 24%

Above 100 mph -1.6% +1.0%

11.3% of Jarred Kelenic's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 0.2% lower than the league average. 25.3% of batted balls allowed by Ryan Johnson are hit at this angle, which is 13.9% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%