Matchup Machine | Ballpark Pal

Jarred Kelenic

matchup for Jared Jones

73rd out of 436 (Best 18%)

Jared Jones

matchup for Jarred Kelenic

390th out of 567 (Worst 31%)

Strong advantage for Jones

Jarred Kelenic has a 27.6% chance of reaching base vs Jared Jones, which is 1.6% lower than Kelenic's typical expectations, and 3.5% lower than batters facing Jones.

	Reach	Hit	HR	2B / 3B	1B	BB	K
Prediction	27.6%	18.1%	3.1%	5.0%	10.0%	9.5%	36.9%
Kelenic	-1.6	-2.2	+0.1	0.0	-2.3	+0.7	+4.3
Jones	-3.5	-2.7	+0.1	0.0	-2.8	-0.7	+8.3

Jarred Kelenic is slightly better vs right-handed pitching. Jared Jones is right handed with an over-the-top delivery. Kelenic has a B grade vs this particular release point.

Jared Jones throws a 4-seam fastball 49% of the time. Jarred Kelenic has a B- grade against right-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type

% of Arsenal

4-Seam (R)

49%

Slider (R)

35%

Curve (R)

Changeup (R)

17% of Jared Jones's pitches are classified as Mid Challenges, which is 6% higher than the MLB average. Jarred Kelenic has a C grade against this type of pitch.

Show pitch label key

Pitch Label

% vs MLB

Mid Challenge 17%

+6%

Strong Challenge 8%

+3%

Edge Painter 18%

+1%

Chaser 6%

Likely Ball 18%

-1%

Fringe Miss 11%

-1%

Non-Competitive 11%

-2%

Weak Challenge 6%

-2%

Meatball 3%

-4%

36% of Jared Jones's pitches are classified as Medium Break Toward Third Base, which is 16% higher than the MLB average. Jarred Kelenic has a C grade against this type of pitch.

Physical Trait

% vs MLB

Medium Break 36%

+16%

Extreme Fast Velo 18%

+15%

Breaking (R) 44%

+13%

High Ride 22%

+11%

17.9% of Jarred Kelenic's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 5.6% higher than the league average. Jared Jones strikes out 15.6% of the batters he faces, which is 0.4% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

12%

Strikeout +5.6% +0.4% 5%

Walk -0.7% +0.6% 42%

In Play -4.9% -1.1% 39%

On Base -3.3% -0.1% 31%

Hit -2.6% -0.8% 14%

Single -1.9% -1.1% 13%

2B / 3B -1.4% -0.5% 3%

Home Run +0.6% +0.9%

32.0% of Jarred Kelenic's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 2.4% lower than the league average. Jared Jones induces Standard Grounders at a 30.0% rate, which is 4.4% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

Squib/Bunt +0.3% -0.2% 34%

Standard Grounder -2.4% -4.4% 7%

Hard Grounder +1.5% +0.4% 14%

Low Screamer -0.5% -2.4% 9%

Rising Liner -1.0% +1.0% 4%

Maybe Homer +0.5% +1.5% 3%

Likely Homer 0.0% -0.1% 1%

No Doubter +0.0% +0.2% 20%

Routine Flyout +0.2% +1.5% 3%

Pop up +1.4% +2.5%

22.7% of Jarred Kelenic's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 1.6% lower than the league average. 24.7% of batted balls allowed by Jared Jones are hit at above 100 mph, which is 0.4% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Below 75 mph +1.9% +1.4% 21%

75 to 86 mph +1.9% -4.2% 18%

87 to 93 mph -3.2% -2.8% 19%

94 to 99 mph +0.9% +5.2% 24%

Above 100 mph -1.6% +0.4%

11.3% of Jarred Kelenic's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 0.2% lower than the league average. 8.9% of batted balls allowed by Jared Jones are hit at this angle, which is 2.6% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%