Matchup Machine | Ballpark Pal

Jarred Kelenic

matchup for Ryan Weathers

38th out of 436 (Best 9%)

Ryan Weathers

matchup for Jarred Kelenic

451st out of 567 (Worst 21%)

Strong advantage for Weathers

Jarred Kelenic has a 26.8% chance of reaching base vs Ryan Weathers, which is 2.4% lower than Kelenic's typical expectations, and 3.1% lower than batters facing Weathers.

	Reach	Hit	HR	2B / 3B	1B	BB	K
Prediction	26.8%	19.0%	1.9%	4.9%	12.2%	7.8%	34.9%
Kelenic	-2.4	-1.4	-1.1	-0.2	-0.1	-1.0	+2.3
Weathers	-3.1	-2.6	-0.2	-0.7	-1.7	-0.5	+10.2

Jarred Kelenic is about the same vs left-handed pitching as he is against right. Ryan Weathers is left handed with an extreme release toward the first base side. Kelenic has a D grade vs this particular release point.

Ryan Weathers throws a 4-seam fastball 44% of the time. Jarred Kelenic has a B grade against left-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type

% of Arsenal

4-Seam (L)

44%

Slider (L)

25%

Changeup (L)

18%

Sinker (L)

13%

12% of Ryan Weathers's pitches are classified as Mid Challenges, which is 1% higher than the MLB average. Jarred Kelenic has a C grade against this type of pitch.

Show pitch label key

Pitch Label

% vs MLB

Mid Challenge 12%

+1%

Likely Ball 21%

+1%

Strong Challenge 6%

+1%

Non-Competitive 13%

+0%

Fringe Miss 12%

Edge Painter 17%

Weak Challenge 8%

Meatball 5%

-1%

Chaser 5%

-1%

53% of Ryan Weathers's pitches are classified as Large Break Toward Third Base, which is 32% higher than the MLB average. Jarred Kelenic has an A grade against this type of pitch.

Physical Trait

% vs MLB

Large Break 53%

+32%

Fast Velo 28%

+19%

Low Ride 37%

+14%

17.9% of Jarred Kelenic's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 5.6% higher than the league average. Ryan Weathers strikes out 14.3% of the batters he faces, which is 2.1% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

12%

Strikeout +5.6% -2.1% 5%

Walk -0.7% -0.6% 42%

In Play -4.9% +2.7% 39%

On Base -3.3% +0.9% 31%

Hit -2.6% +1.5% 14%

Single -1.9% +0.9% 13%

2B / 3B -1.4% +1.2% 3%

Home Run +0.6% -0.5%

32.0% of Jarred Kelenic's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 2.4% lower than the league average. Ryan Weathers induces Standard Grounders at a 40.1% rate, which is 5.7% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

Squib/Bunt +0.3% +0.3% 34%

Standard Grounder -2.4% +5.7% 7%

Hard Grounder +1.5% -0.6% 14%

Low Screamer -0.5% -1.1% 9%

Rising Liner -1.0% -1.3% 4%

Maybe Homer +0.5% +1.4% 3%

Likely Homer 0.0% -0.7% 1%

No Doubter +0.0% +0.5% 20%

Routine Flyout +0.2% -5.5% 3%

Pop up +1.4% +1.2%

22.7% of Jarred Kelenic's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 1.6% lower than the league average. 25.4% of batted balls allowed by Ryan Weathers are hit at above 100 mph, which is 1.1% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Below 75 mph +1.9% +0.6% 21%

75 to 86 mph +1.9% +1.0% 18%

87 to 93 mph -3.2% -0.7% 19%

94 to 99 mph +0.9% -2.0% 24%

Above 100 mph -1.6% +1.1%

11.3% of Jarred Kelenic's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 0.2% lower than the league average. 7.7% of batted balls allowed by Ryan Weathers are hit at this angle, which is 3.8% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%