Matchup Machine | Ballpark Pal

Jarred Kelenic

matchup for Logan Gilbert

98th out of 436 (Best 23%)

Logan Gilbert

matchup for Jarred Kelenic

539th out of 567 (Worst 5%)

Extreme advantage for Gilbert

Jarred Kelenic has a 22.6% chance of reaching base vs Logan Gilbert, which is 6.5% lower than Kelenic's typical expectations, and 2.1% lower than batters facing Gilbert.

	Reach	Hit	HR	2B / 3B	1B	BB	K
Prediction	22.6%	17.2%	2.8%	4.8%	9.7%	5.4%	44.8%
Kelenic	-6.5	-3.1	-0.2	-0.3	-2.6	-3.4	+12.1
Gilbert	-2.1	-2.5	+0.4	-0.3	-2.6	+0.4	+10.2

Jarred Kelenic is slightly better vs right-handed pitching. Logan Gilbert is right handed with an over-the-top delivery. Kelenic has a B grade vs this particular release point.

Logan Gilbert throws a 4-seam fastball 44% of the time. Jarred Kelenic has a B- grade against right-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type

% of Arsenal

4-Seam (R)

44%

Slider (R)

29%

Kn-Curve (R)

Splitter (R)

15% of Logan Gilbert's pitches are classified as Mid Challenges, which is 3% higher than the MLB average. Jarred Kelenic has a C grade against this type of pitch.

Show pitch label key

Pitch Label

% vs MLB

Mid Challenge 15%

+3%

Weak Challenge 10%

+2%

Edge Painter 17%

+0%

Chaser 6%

Strong Challenge 5%

Fringe Miss 12%

Likely Ball 19%

-1%

Meatball 5%

-2%

Non-Competitive 11%

-2%

35% of Logan Gilbert's pitches are classified as Medium Break Toward Third Base, which is 16% higher than the MLB average. Jarred Kelenic has a C grade against this type of pitch.

Physical Trait

% vs MLB

Medium Break 35%

+16%

Very Fast Velo 22%

+14%

High Ride 20%

+10%

Breaking (R) 41%

+10%

17.9% of Jarred Kelenic's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 5.6% higher than the league average. Logan Gilbert strikes out 18.2% of the batters he faces, which is 4.3% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

12%

Strikeout +5.6% +4.3% 5%

Walk -0.7% -4.2% 42%

In Play -4.9% 0.0% 39%

On Base -3.3% -7.3% 31%

Hit -2.6% -3.1% 14%

Single -1.9% -2.0% 13%

2B / 3B -1.4% -1.6% 3%

Home Run +0.6% +0.5%

32.0% of Jarred Kelenic's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 2.4% lower than the league average. Logan Gilbert induces Standard Grounders at a 31.3% rate, which is 3.1% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

Squib/Bunt +0.3% +0.7% 34%

Standard Grounder -2.4% -3.1% 7%

Hard Grounder +1.5% +1.6% 14%

Low Screamer -0.5% -2.0% 9%

Rising Liner -1.0% +1.4% 4%

Maybe Homer +0.5% -0.4% 3%

Likely Homer 0.0% +0.2% 1%

No Doubter +0.0% -0.3% 20%

Routine Flyout +0.2% +1.1% 3%

Pop up +1.4% +0.7%

22.7% of Jarred Kelenic's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 1.6% lower than the league average. 27.3% of batted balls allowed by Logan Gilbert are hit at above 100 mph, which is 3.0% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Below 75 mph +1.9% -2.3% 21%

75 to 86 mph +1.9% -3.4% 18%

87 to 93 mph -3.2% +0.6% 19%

94 to 99 mph +0.9% +2.0% 24%

Above 100 mph -1.6% +3.0%

11.3% of Jarred Kelenic's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 0.2% lower than the league average. 9.3% of batted balls allowed by Logan Gilbert are hit at this angle, which is 2.2% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%