Matchup Machine

Jarred Kelenic

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matchup for Jake Latz

66th out of 436 (Best 16%)

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Jake Latz

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matchup for Jarred Kelenic

218th out of 567 (Best 39%)

Leans in favor of Latz
1

Model Prediction

Jarred Kelenic has a 32.3% chance of reaching base vs Jake Latz, which is 3.2% higher than Kelenic's typical expectations, and 2.1% lower than batters facing Latz.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction32.3%18.7%2.4%4.7%11.6%13.6%30.9%
Kelenic+3.2-1.6-0.6-0.3-0.6+4.8-1.8
Latz-2.1-2.1-0.4-0.2-1.6+0.1+8.1

Handedness and Release Point

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Jarred Kelenic is about the same vs left-handed pitching as he is against right. Jake Latz is left handed with a moderate release toward the first base side. Kelenic has an A- grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Jake Latz throws a 4-seam fastball 50% of the time. Jarred Kelenic has a B grade against left-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    4-Seam (L)
50%
   Changeup (L)
23%
   Slider (L)
22%
   Curve (L)
5%

Contact and Outcomes

17.9% of Jarred Kelenic's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 5.6% higher than the league average. Jake Latz strikes out 13.4% of the batters he faces, which is 1.3% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 12%         Strikeout +5.6% -1.3% 5%         Walk -0.7% +6.7% 42%         In Play -4.9% -5.5% 39%         On Base -3.3% +1.7% 31%         Hit -2.6% -5.1% 14%         Single -1.9% -3.5% 13%         2B / 3B -1.4% -3.0% 3%         Home Run +0.6% +1.4%

History

No History in the last 3 years