Matchup Machine | Ballpark Pal

Jarred Kelenic

matchup for Michael King

85th out of 436 (Best 20%)

Michael King

matchup for Jarred Kelenic

473rd out of 567 (Worst 17%)

Strong advantage for King

Jarred Kelenic has a 28.4% chance of reaching base vs Michael King, which is 2.3% lower than Kelenic's typical expectations, and 2.2% lower than batters facing King.

	Reach	Hit	HR	2B / 3B	1B	BB	K
Prediction	28.4%	18.3%	2.7%	4.0%	11.6%	10.1%	36.5%
Kelenic	-2.3	-2.8	-0.7	-1.3	-0.9	+0.5	+5.3
King	-2.2	-2.5	+0.2	-0.3	-2.4	+0.3	+7.5

Jarred Kelenic is slightly better vs right-handed pitching. Michael King is right handed with an extreme release toward the third base side. Kelenic has an A grade vs this particular release point.

Michael King throws a Sinker 37% of the time. Jarred Kelenic has an A grade against right-handed Sinkers

Pitch Type

% of Arsenal

Sinker (R)

37%

Slider (R)

20%

4-Seam (R)

20%

Changeup (R)

18%

Curve (R)

7% of Michael King's pitches are classified as Strong Challenges, which is 2% higher than the MLB average. Jarred Kelenic has an F grade against this type of pitch.

Show pitch label key

Pitch Label

% vs MLB

Strong Challenge 7%

+2%

Edge Painter 18%

+1%

Chaser 6%

+0%

Fringe Miss 13%

+0%

Weak Challenge 8%

+0%

Mid Challenge 11%

Likely Ball 19%

Non-Competitive 12%

-1%

Meatball 3%

-3%

48% of Michael King's pitches are classified as Extreme Break Toward Third Base, which is 33% higher than the MLB average. Jarred Kelenic has a D grade against this type of pitch.

Physical Trait

% vs MLB

Extreme Break 48%

+33%

Just Gravity 30%

+17%

Medium Fast Velo 24%

+9%

17.6% of Jarred Kelenic's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 5.0% higher than the league average. Michael King strikes out 18.7% of the batters he faces, which is 4.7% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

12%

Strikeout +5.0% +4.7% 4%

Walk -0.4% +0.1% 41%

In Play -4.6% -4.8% 39%

On Base -3.3% -2.2% 31%

Hit -2.8% -2.3% 14%

Single -1.8% -0.5% 13%

2B / 3B -1.4% -1.4% 3%

Home Run +0.4% -0.4%

32.3% of Jarred Kelenic's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 2.1% lower than the league average. Michael King induces Standard Grounders at a 36.8% rate, which is 2.4% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

Squib/Bunt +0.3% +0.1% 34%

Standard Grounder -2.1% +2.4% 7%

Hard Grounder +1.4% -1.5% 14%

Low Screamer -0.6% +2.1% 9%

Rising Liner -0.8% -1.8% 4%

Maybe Homer +0.6% +0.6% 3%

Likely Homer -0.1% +1.5% 1%

No Doubter +0.0% +0.3% 20%

Routine Flyout +0.1% -3.0% 3%

Pop up +1.2% -0.7%

22.7% of Jarred Kelenic's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 1.6% lower than the league average. 22.9% of batted balls allowed by Michael King are hit at above 100 mph, which is 1.4% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Below 75 mph +1.9% +2.5% 21%

75 to 86 mph +1.8% +1.9% 18%

87 to 93 mph -3.3% -2.8% 19%

94 to 99 mph +1.2% -0.3% 24%

Above 100 mph -1.6% -1.4%

11.3% of Jarred Kelenic's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 0.1% lower than the league average. 12.5% of batted balls allowed by Michael King are hit at this angle, which is 1.0% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%

Below -10° +1.8% +0.1% 12%

-10 to 0° -2.4% -1.5% 8%

1 to 6° -1.4% +0.6% 18%

7 to 18° -0.8% +0.1% 15%

19 to 28° -0.9% +0.7% 11%

29 to 38° -0.1% +1.0% 7%

39 to 50° +3.4% -1.6% 8%

Above 50° +0.4% +0.6%

Jarred Kelenic has 1 plate appearance against Michael King in the last 3 years. He is 0 for 1.

	PA	AB	H	HR	2/3B	1B	K	BB	Avg
Actual	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0.000
Expected From Contact →			0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00			0.000

		Expected From Contact
Date	Outcome	HR	2/3B	1B	Out
2025-03-27	Forceout

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.

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Model Prediction

Handedness and Release Point

Click on a grade for a detailed view

On the Way to the Plate

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Contact and Outcomes

History

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Model Prediction

Handedness and Release Point

Click on a grade for a detailed view

On the Way to the Plate

Click on a grade for a detailed view

Contact and Outcomes

History

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