matchup for Felix Bautista
matchup for Jarred Kelenic
9
Jarred Kelenic has a 26.9% chance of reaching base vs Felix Bautista, which is 2.2% lower than Kelenic's typical expectations, and 3.5% lower than batters facing Bautista.
| Reach | Hit | HR | 2B / 3B | 1B | BB | K | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Prediction | 26.9% | 13.9% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 9.4% | 13.1% | 41.1% |
| Kelenic | -2.2 | -6.5 | -0.8 | -2.5 | -3.1 | +4.3 | +8.7 |
| Bautista | -3.5 | -2.6 | -0.4 | -0.3 | -1.9 | -0.9 | +7.2 |
Jarred Kelenic is slightly better vs right-handed pitching. Felix Bautista is right handed with an over-the-top delivery. Kelenic has a D grade vs this particular release point.
Felix Bautista throws a 4-seam fastball 64% of the time. Jarred Kelenic has a C+ grade against right-handed 4-seamers
Pitch Type
% of Arsenal
4-Seam (R)
64%
Splitter (R)
25%
Slider (R)
9%
10% of Felix Bautista's pitches are classified as Strong Challenges, which is 5% higher than the MLB average. Jarred Kelenic has an F grade against this type of pitch.
Pitch Label
% vs MLB
Strong Challenge
10%
+5%
Chaser
9%
+3%
Mid Challenge
14%
+3%
Edge Painter
17%
+0%
Likely Ball
19%
0%
Fringe Miss
11%
-1%
Non-Competitive
11%
-1%
Meatball
2%
-5%
Weak Challenge
3%
-5%
53% of Felix Bautista's pitches are classified as Extreme Fast Velocity, which is 50% higher than the MLB average. Jarred Kelenic hasn't faced this type of pitch enough to assign a grade.
Physical Trait
% vs MLB
Extreme Fast Velo
53%
+50%
Medium Break
67%
+48%
Extreme Ride
47%
+43%
Offspeed (R)
25%
+14%
Fastball (R)
66%
+12%
18.0% of Jarred Kelenic's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 5.6% higher than the league average. Felix Bautista strikes out 24.4% of the batters he faces, which is 15.9% higher than the typical MLB rate.
12%
Strikeout
+5.6%
+15.9%
5%
Walk
-0.8%
+3.9%
42%
In Play
-4.9%
-19.7%
39%
On Base
-3.5%
-8.7%
31%
Hit
-2.7%
-12.6%
14%
Single
-1.9%
-5.8%
13%
2B / 3B
-1.5%
-5.3%
3%
Home Run
+0.6%
-1.5%
31.7% of Jarred Kelenic's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 2.7% lower than the league average. Felix Bautista induces Standard Grounders at a 34.5% rate, which is 0.1% higher than the typical MLB rate.
0%
Squib/Bunt
+0.3%
-0.8%
34%
Standard Grounder
-2.7%
+0.1%
7%
Hard Grounder
+1.5%
-2.3%
14%
Low Screamer
-0.4%
+0.3%
9%
Rising Liner
-1.0%
-3.5%
4%
Maybe Homer
+0.5%
+2.4%
3%
Likely Homer
+0.1%
-0.5%
1%
No Doubter
+0.0%
-0.5%
20%
Routine Flyout
+0.3%
-0.4%
3%
Pop up
+1.3%
+5.2%
22.8% of Jarred Kelenic's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 1.5% lower than the league average. 16.8% of batted balls allowed by Felix Bautista are hit at above 100 mph, which is 7.5% lower than the typical MLB rate.
16%
Below 75 mph
+1.7%
+2.6%
21%
75 to 86 mph
+2.0%
+5.3%
18%
87 to 93 mph
-3.2%
-1.7%
19%
94 to 99 mph
+0.9%
+1.3%
24%
Above 100 mph
-1.5%
-7.5%
11.4% of Jarred Kelenic's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 0.0% higher than the league average. 10.5% of batted balls allowed by Felix Bautista are hit at this angle, which is 0.9% lower than the typical MLB rate.
17%
Below -10°
+1.5%
-4.2%
12%
-10 to 0°
-2.5%
-1.3%
8%
1 to 6°
-1.5%
-2.1%
18%
7 to 18°
-1.0%
-2.5%
15%
19 to 28°
-0.6%
+2.0%
11%
29 to 38°
+0.0%
-0.9%
7%
39 to 50°
+3.5%
+0.7%
8%
Above 50°
+0.6%
+8.3%
No History in the last 3 years
