Matchup Machine | Ballpark Pal

Jarred Kelenic

matchup for Carson Fulmer

103rd out of 436 (Best 24%)

Carson Fulmer

matchup for Jarred Kelenic

125th out of 567 (Best 23%)

Moderate advantage for Kelenic

Jarred Kelenic has a 31.4% chance of reaching base vs Carson Fulmer, which is 2.3% higher than Kelenic's typical expectations, and 2.0% lower than batters facing Fulmer.

	Reach	Hit	HR	2B / 3B	1B	BB	K
Prediction	31.4%	23.0%	3.7%	5.6%	13.7%	8.5%	29.8%
Kelenic	+2.3	+2.6	+0.7	+0.6	+1.4	-0.4	-2.8
Fulmer	-2.0	-0.8	+0.6	+0.0	-1.4	-1.2	+8.2

Jarred Kelenic is slightly better vs right-handed pitching. Carson Fulmer is right handed with a horizontal release toward the third base side. Kelenic has a D+ grade vs this particular release point.

Carson Fulmer throws a 4-seam fastball 37% of the time. Jarred Kelenic has a B- grade against right-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type

% of Arsenal

4-Seam (R)

37%

Changeup (R)

20%

Cutter (R)

15%

Sinker (R)

11%

Curve (R)

Slider (R)

8% of Carson Fulmer's pitches are classified as Meatballs, which is 2% higher than the MLB average. Jarred Kelenic has an A+ grade against this type of pitch.

Show pitch label key

Pitch Label

% vs MLB

Meatball 8%

+2%

Non-Competitive 14%

+1%

Likely Ball 20%

+1%

Chaser 7%

+0%

Fringe Miss 13%

+0%

Edge Painter 17%

-1%

Strong Challenge 4%

-1%

Weak Challenge 7%

-1%

Mid Challenge 9%

-2%

33% of Carson Fulmer's pitches are classified as Medium Fast Velocity, which is 18% higher than the MLB average. Jarred Kelenic has a C+ grade against this type of pitch.

Physical Trait

% vs MLB

Medium Fast Velo 33%

+18%

Offspeed (R) 20%

+9%

Fastball (R) 62%

+8%

17.9% of Jarred Kelenic's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 5.6% higher than the league average. Carson Fulmer strikes out 13.9% of the batters he faces, which is 2.6% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

12%

Strikeout +5.6% -2.6% 5%

Walk -0.7% +2.5% 42%

In Play -4.9% +0.1% 39%

On Base -3.3% +3.9% 31%

Hit -2.6% +1.4% 14%

Single -1.9% +0.6% 13%

2B / 3B -1.4% +0.6% 3%

Home Run +0.6% +0.1%

32.0% of Jarred Kelenic's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 2.4% lower than the league average. Carson Fulmer induces Standard Grounders at a 34.3% rate, which is 0.1% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

Squib/Bunt +0.3% -0.6% 34%

Standard Grounder -2.4% -0.1% 7%

Hard Grounder +1.5% +1.9% 14%

Low Screamer -0.5% -1.2% 9%

Rising Liner -1.0% -2.0% 4%

Maybe Homer +0.5% -0.6% 3%

Likely Homer 0.0% +0.9% 1%

No Doubter +0.0% +0.1% 20%

Routine Flyout +0.2% +3.9% 3%

Pop up +1.4% -2.4%

22.7% of Jarred Kelenic's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 1.6% lower than the league average. 24.9% of batted balls allowed by Carson Fulmer are hit at above 100 mph, which is 0.6% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Below 75 mph +1.9% -4.1% 21%

75 to 86 mph +1.9% +1.1% 18%

87 to 93 mph -3.2% -1.3% 19%

94 to 99 mph +0.9% +3.7% 24%

Above 100 mph -1.6% +0.6%

11.3% of Jarred Kelenic's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 0.2% lower than the league average. 11.5% of batted balls allowed by Carson Fulmer are hit at this angle, which is 0.0% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%