Matchup Machine | Ballpark Pal

Jarred Kelenic

matchup for Domingo German

63rd out of 436 (Best 15%)

Domingo German

matchup for Jarred Kelenic

192nd out of 564 (Best 35%)

Leans in favor of Kelenic

Jarred Kelenic has a 30.9% chance of reaching base vs Domingo German, which is 1.7% higher than Kelenic's typical expectations, and 2.9% lower than batters facing German.

	Reach	Hit	HR	2B / 3B	1B	BB	K
Prediction	30.9%	20.9%	3.0%	5.3%	12.5%	10.0%	30.1%
Kelenic	+1.7	+0.5	+0.0	+0.3	+0.2	+1.2	-2.6
German	-2.9	-2.1	+0.1	+0.3	-2.4	-0.8	+8.6

Jarred Kelenic is slightly better vs right-handed pitching. Domingo German is right handed with an over-the-top delivery. Kelenic has a B grade vs this particular release point.

Domingo German throws a Curve 36% of the time. Jarred Kelenic has a B grade against right-handed Curves

Pitch Type

% of Arsenal

Curve (R)

36%

4-Seam (R)

30%

Changeup (R)

20%

Sinker (R)

10% of Domingo German's pitches are classified as Meatballs, which is 4% higher than the MLB average. Jarred Kelenic has an A+ grade against this type of pitch.

Show pitch label key

Pitch Label

% vs MLB

Meatball 10%

+4%

Likely Ball 21%

+2%

Chaser 7%

+1%

Fringe Miss 13%

+1%

Edge Painter 17%

Strong Challenge 4%

-1%

Mid Challenge 10%

-1%

Weak Challenge 6%

-2%

Non-Competitive 11%

-2%

31% of Domingo German's pitches are classified as Very Slow Velocity, which is 17% higher than the MLB average. Jarred Kelenic has a D- grade against this type of pitch.

Physical Trait

% vs MLB

Very Slow Velo 31%

+17%

Extreme Break 30%

+15%

Large Drop 16%

+11%

Offspeed (R) 20%

+9%

17.9% of Jarred Kelenic's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 5.6% higher than the league average. Domingo German strikes out 17.0% of the batters he faces, which is 2.5% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

12%

Strikeout +5.6% +2.5% 5%

Walk -0.7% 0.0% 42%

In Play -4.9% -2.5% 39%

On Base -3.3% -3.0% 31%

Hit -2.6% -3.0% 14%

Single -1.9% -1.8% 13%

2B / 3B -1.4% -1.4% 3%

Home Run +0.6% +0.2%

32.0% of Jarred Kelenic's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 2.4% lower than the league average. Domingo German induces Standard Grounders at a 31.2% rate, which is 3.2% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

Squib/Bunt +0.3% -0.2% 34%

Standard Grounder -2.4% -3.2% 7%

Hard Grounder +1.5% +2.4% 14%

Low Screamer -0.5% -0.7% 9%

Rising Liner -1.0% -1.0% 4%

Maybe Homer +0.5% +0.0% 3%

Likely Homer 0.0% +1.0% 1%

No Doubter +0.0% +0.1% 20%

Routine Flyout +0.2% 0.0% 3%

Pop up +1.4% +1.6%

22.7% of Jarred Kelenic's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 1.6% lower than the league average. 24.0% of batted balls allowed by Domingo German are hit at above 100 mph, which is 0.3% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Below 75 mph +1.9% -0.3% 21%

75 to 86 mph +1.9% +0.6% 18%

87 to 93 mph -3.2% -1.3% 19%

94 to 99 mph +0.9% +1.2% 24%

Above 100 mph -1.6% -0.3%

11.3% of Jarred Kelenic's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 0.2% lower than the league average. 12.1% of batted balls allowed by Domingo German are hit at this angle, which is 0.7% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%

Below -10° +1.6% -3.1% 12%

-10 to 0° -2.4% 0.0% 8%

1 to 6° -1.4% +0.3% 18%

7 to 18° -1.0% -0.2% 15%

19 to 28° -0.7% -1.8% 11%

29 to 38° -0.2% +0.7% 7%

39 to 50° +3.6% +1.1% 8%

Above 50° +0.6% +3.1%

Jarred Kelenic has 8 plate appearances against Domingo German in the last 3 years. He is 2 for 8 with 3 strikeouts.

	PA	AB	H	HR	2/3B	1B	K	BB	Avg
Actual	8	8	2	0	0	2	3	0	0.250
Expected From Contact →			2.10	0.00	0.69	1.41			0.263

		Expected From Contact
Date	Outcome	HR	2/3B	1B	Out
2023-06-22	Field Error
2023-06-22	Strikeout
2023-06-22	Strikeout
2023-05-29	Groundout			74%	25%
2023-05-29	Single		22%	13%	65%
2023-05-29	Single		46%	49%	5%
2022-08-01	Strikeout
2022-08-01	Groundout			5%	95%

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.

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Model Prediction

Handedness and Release Point

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On the Way to the Plate

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Contact and Outcomes

History

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Model Prediction

Handedness and Release Point

Click on a grade for a detailed view

On the Way to the Plate

Click on a grade for a detailed view

Contact and Outcomes

History

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