Matchup Machine | Ballpark Pal

Jarred Kelenic

matchup for Dylan Floro

225th out of 436 (Worst 49%)

Dylan Floro

matchup for Jarred Kelenic

50th out of 567 (Best 10%)

Strong advantage for Kelenic

Jarred Kelenic has a 32.5% chance of reaching base vs Dylan Floro, which is 3.3% higher than Kelenic's typical expectations, and 1.0% lower than batters facing Floro.

	Reach	Hit	HR	2B / 3B	1B	BB	K
Prediction	32.5%	25.2%	4.4%	5.7%	15.0%	7.3%	24.9%
Kelenic	+3.3	+4.9	+1.4	+0.7	+2.7	-1.5	-7.7
Floro	-1.0	-1.2	+1.4	+0.5	-3.1	+0.2	+8.2

Jarred Kelenic is slightly better vs right-handed pitching. Dylan Floro is right handed with an extreme release toward the third base side. Kelenic has an A grade vs this particular release point.

Dylan Floro throws a Sinker 41% of the time. Jarred Kelenic has an A grade against right-handed Sinkers

Pitch Type

% of Arsenal

Sinker (R)

41%

Slider (R)

24%

4-Seam (R)

22%

Changeup (R)

14%

11% of Dylan Floro's pitches are classified as Weak Challenges, which is 3% higher than the MLB average. Jarred Kelenic has an A+ grade against this type of pitch.

Show pitch label key

Pitch Label

% vs MLB

Weak Challenge 11%

+3%

Chaser 8%

+2%

Edge Painter 18%

+1%

Likely Ball 20%

+1%

Fringe Miss 13%

+0%

Mid Challenge 10%

-1%

Strong Challenge 4%

-1%

Meatball 5%

-1%

Non-Competitive 10%

-3%

48% of Dylan Floro's pitches are classified as Extreme Break Toward Third Base, which is 34% higher than the MLB average. Jarred Kelenic has a D+ grade against this type of pitch.

Physical Trait

% vs MLB

Extreme Break 48%

+34%

Just Gravity 30%

+16%

Medium Fast Velo 29%

+14%

Fastball (R) 63%

+9%

17.9% of Jarred Kelenic's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 5.6% higher than the league average. Dylan Floro strikes out 13.9% of the batters he faces, which is 2.5% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

12%

Strikeout +5.6% -2.5% 5%

Walk -0.7% -1.6% 42%

In Play -4.9% +4.0% 39%

On Base -3.3% +3.4% 31%

Hit -2.6% +5.0% 14%

Single -1.9% +3.0% 13%

2B / 3B -1.4% +3.3% 3%

Home Run +0.6% -1.3%

32.0% of Jarred Kelenic's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 2.4% lower than the league average. Dylan Floro induces Standard Grounders at a 39.3% rate, which is 4.9% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

Squib/Bunt +0.3% +0.2% 34%

Standard Grounder -2.4% +4.9% 7%

Hard Grounder +1.5% -0.5% 14%

Low Screamer -0.5% -3.6% 9%

Rising Liner -1.0% +0.3% 4%

Maybe Homer +0.5% -2.3% 3%

Likely Homer 0.0% +0.3% 1%

No Doubter +0.0% -1.1% 20%

Routine Flyout +0.2% +2.1% 3%

Pop up +1.4% -0.2%

22.7% of Jarred Kelenic's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 1.6% lower than the league average. 20.5% of batted balls allowed by Dylan Floro are hit at above 100 mph, which is 3.8% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Below 75 mph +1.9% -2.0% 21%

75 to 86 mph +1.9% +0.8% 18%

87 to 93 mph -3.2% +4.2% 19%

94 to 99 mph +0.9% +0.8% 24%

Above 100 mph -1.6% -3.8%

11.3% of Jarred Kelenic's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 0.2% lower than the league average. 10.2% of batted balls allowed by Dylan Floro are hit at this angle, which is 1.2% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%

Below -10° +1.6% +1.1% 12%

-10 to 0° -2.4% +1.6% 8%

1 to 6° -1.4% +0.6% 18%

7 to 18° -1.0% +0.0% 15%

19 to 28° -0.7% +0.7% 11%

29 to 38° -0.2% -1.2% 7%

39 to 50° +3.6% -0.3% 8%

Above 50° +0.6% -2.4%

Jarred Kelenic has 1 plate appearance against Dylan Floro in the last 3 years. He is 0 for 1 with a strikeout.

	PA	AB	H	HR	2/3B	1B	K	BB	Avg
Actual	1	1	0	0	0	0	1	0	0.000
Expected From Contact →			0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00			0.000

		Expected From Contact
Date	Outcome	HR	2/3B	1B	Out
2023-06-14	Strikeout

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.

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Model Prediction

Handedness and Release Point

Click on a grade for a detailed view

On the Way to the Plate

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Contact and Outcomes

History

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Model Prediction

Handedness and Release Point

Click on a grade for a detailed view

On the Way to the Plate

Click on a grade for a detailed view

Contact and Outcomes

History

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