Matchup Machine | Ballpark Pal

Patrick Bailey

matchup for Hunter Greene

327th out of 436 (Worst 25%)

Hunter Greene

matchup for Patrick Bailey

480th out of 567 (Worst 16%)

Moderate advantage for Greene

Patrick Bailey has a 29.1% chance of reaching base vs Hunter Greene, which is 3.6% lower than Bailey's typical expectations, and 2.1% higher than batters facing Greene.

	Reach	Hit	HR	2B / 3B	1B	BB	K
Prediction	29.1%	18.2%	2.5%	4.3%	11.3%	10.9%	30.8%
Bailey	-3.6	-4.4	+0.4	-0.9	-3.9	+0.8	+5.6
Greene	+2.1	+1.2	-0.4	+0.6	+1.0	+1.0	-1.7

Patrick Bailey is slightly better vs right-handed pitching. Hunter Greene is right handed with a horizontal release toward the third base side. Bailey has a C+ grade vs this particular release point.

Hunter Greene throws a 4-seam fastball 55% of the time. Patrick Bailey has a C- grade against right-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type

% of Arsenal

4-Seam (R)

55%

Slider (R)

38%

14% of Hunter Greene's pitches are classified as Mid Challenges, which is 3% higher than the MLB average. Patrick Bailey has a B grade against this type of pitch.

Show pitch label key

Pitch Label

% vs MLB

Mid Challenge 14%

+3%

Strong Challenge 7%

+2%

Chaser 7%

+1%

Fringe Miss 13%

+1%

Likely Ball 20%

+0%

Edge Painter 17%

+0%

Non-Competitive 11%

-2%

Weak Challenge 6%

-2%

Meatball 3%

-3%

32% of Hunter Greene's pitches are classified as Extreme Fast Velocity, which is 29% higher than the MLB average. Patrick Bailey hasn't faced this type of pitch enough to assign a grade.

Physical Trait

% vs MLB

Extreme Fast Velo 32%

+29%

Large Break 37%

+16%

Medium Ride 27%

+14%

Breaking (R) 39%

+8%

14.4% of Patrick Bailey's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 0.3% lower than the league average. Hunter Greene strikes out 19.5% of the batters he faces, which is 7.7% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

14%

Strikeout -0.3% +7.7% 4%

Walk -0.1% +0.5% 39%

In Play +0.4% -8.2% 39%

On Base +1.6% -6.1% 31%

Hit +1.7% -6.6% 14%

Single +1.2% -3.2% 13%

2B / 3B +1.5% -3.1% 3%

Home Run -0.9% -0.3%

32.7% of Patrick Bailey's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 1.7% lower than the league average. Hunter Greene induces Standard Grounders at a 29.8% rate, which is 4.6% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

Squib/Bunt +0.1% -0.2% 34%

Standard Grounder -1.7% -4.6% 7%

Hard Grounder -0.2% -2.5% 14%

Low Screamer +3.7% -0.9% 9%

Rising Liner +0.3% -3.8% 4%

Maybe Homer +1.8% -1.8% 3%

Likely Homer -1.0% -0.7% 1%

No Doubter -0.7% +1.7% 20%

Routine Flyout -0.8% +8.3% 3%

Pop up -1.4% +4.5%

24.6% of Patrick Bailey's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 0.3% higher than the league average. 20.1% of batted balls allowed by Hunter Greene are hit at above 100 mph, which is 4.2% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Below 75 mph -2.3% +2.0% 21%

75 to 86 mph +1.3% +2.3% 18%

87 to 93 mph -1.6% +0.8% 19%

94 to 99 mph +2.2% -1.0% 24%

Above 100 mph +0.3% -4.2%

8.4% of Patrick Bailey's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 3.0% lower than the league average. 12.9% of batted balls allowed by Hunter Greene are hit at this angle, which is 1.4% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%

Below -10° -0.5% -2.6% 12%

-10 to 0° -0.3% -1.3% 8%

1 to 6° -0.1% -4.7% 18%

7 to 18° -0.1% -3.2% 15%

19 to 28° +7.7% -3.7% 11%

29 to 38° -3.0% +1.4% 7%

39 to 50° -0.8% +5.9% 8%

Above 50° -2.8% +8.0%

Patrick Bailey has 7 plate appearances against Hunter Greene in the last 3 years. He is 0 for 7 with 6 strikeouts.

	PA	AB	H	HR	2/3B	1B	K	BB	Avg
Actual	7	7	0	0	0	0	6	0	0.000
Expected From Contact →			0.01	0.00	0.00	0.00			0.001

		Expected From Contact
Date	Outcome	HR	2/3B	1B	Out
2025-03-27	Strikeout
2025-03-27	Strikeout
2024-08-03	Strikeout
2024-08-03	Strikeout
2024-08-03	Flyout				99%
2023-08-30	Strikeout
2023-08-30	Strikeout

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.

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Model Prediction

Handedness and Release Point

Click on a grade for a detailed view

On the Way to the Plate

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Contact and Outcomes

History

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Model Prediction

Handedness and Release Point

Click on a grade for a detailed view

On the Way to the Plate

Click on a grade for a detailed view

Contact and Outcomes

History

Matchup Machine
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