Matchup Machine

Patrick Bailey

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matchup for Logan Webb

188th out of 436 (Best 44%)

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Logan Webb

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matchup for Patrick Bailey

293rd out of 567 (Worst 49%)

Leans in favor of Bailey
1

Model Prediction

Patrick Bailey has a 32.0% chance of reaching base vs Logan Webb, which is 0.2% higher than Bailey's typical expectations, and 0.2% higher than batters facing Webb.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction32.0%24.8%1.9%5.0%17.9%7.2%24.3%
Bailey+0.2+2.6-0.1-0.3+3.0-2.4-0.7
Webb-0.2+0.1-0.5-0.2+0.8-0.2+2.3

Handedness and Release Point

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Patrick Bailey is slightly better vs right-handed pitching. Logan Webb is right handed with an over-the-top delivery. Bailey has an F grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Logan Webb throws a Sinker 36% of the time. Patrick Bailey has an A- grade against right-handed Sinkers

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    Sinker (R)
36%
   Changeup (R)
34%
   Slider (R)
25%

Contact and Outcomes

14.4% of Patrick Bailey's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 0.4% lower than the league average. Logan Webb strikes out 15.0% of the batters he faces, which is 0.8% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 14%         Strikeout -0.4% -0.8% 4%         Walk -0.3% -2.4% 39%         In Play +0.7% +3.2% 39%         On Base +1.2% +1.6% 31%         Hit +1.5% +4.0% 14%         Single +0.9% +2.5% 13%         2B / 3B +1.5% +2.8% 3%         Home Run -1.0% -1.3%

History

No History in the last 3 years