Matchup Machine | Ballpark Pal

Patrick Bailey

matchup for Griffin Canning

148th out of 436 (Best 35%)

Griffin Canning

matchup for Patrick Bailey

241st out of 567 (Best 43%)

Leans in favor of Bailey

Patrick Bailey has a 32.4% chance of reaching base vs Griffin Canning, which is 0.5% higher than Bailey's typical expectations, and 0.7% lower than batters facing Canning.

	Reach	Hit	HR	2B / 3B	1B	BB	K
Prediction	32.4%	20.9%	2.4%	4.6%	13.9%	11.5%	22.5%
Bailey	+0.5	-1.3	+0.3	-0.6	-1.0	+1.8	-2.6
Canning	-0.7	-0.8	-0.5	-0.3	0.0	+0.1	+1.0

Patrick Bailey is slightly better vs right-handed pitching. Griffin Canning is right handed with an over-the-top delivery. Bailey has an F grade vs this particular release point.

Griffin Canning throws a 4-seam fastball 39% of the time. Patrick Bailey has a C grade against right-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type

% of Arsenal

4-Seam (R)

39%

Slider (R)

27%

Changeup (R)

21%

Curve (R)

11%

14% of Griffin Canning's pitches are classified as Non-Competitive, which is 1% higher than the MLB average. Patrick Bailey has an A grade against this type of pitch.

Show pitch label key

Pitch Label

% vs MLB

Non-Competitive 14%

+1%

Likely Ball 20%

+1%

Meatball 7%

+0%

Weak Challenge 8%

+0%

Fringe Miss 13%

+0%

Mid Challenge 11%

Chaser 6%

Strong Challenge 5%

-1%

Edge Painter 17%

-1%

38% of Griffin Canning's pitches are classified as Medium Slow Velocity, which is 24% higher than the MLB average. Patrick Bailey has a B- grade against this type of pitch.

Physical Trait

% vs MLB

Medium Slow Velo 38%

+24%

Offspeed (R) 21%

+9%

Medium Break 28%

+9%

14.4% of Patrick Bailey's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 0.4% lower than the league average. Griffin Canning strikes out 14.3% of the batters he faces, which is 1.9% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

14%

Strikeout -0.4% -1.9% 4%

Walk -0.3% +0.3% 39%

In Play +0.7% +1.6% 39%

On Base +1.2% -0.8% 31%

Hit +1.5% -1.1% 14%

Single +0.9% -0.9% 13%

2B / 3B +1.5% -0.7% 3%

Home Run -1.0% +0.6%

33.1% of Patrick Bailey's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 1.3% lower than the league average. Griffin Canning induces Standard Grounders at a 31.2% rate, which is 3.2% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

Squib/Bunt +0.1% -0.3% 34%

Standard Grounder -1.3% -3.2% 7%

Hard Grounder -0.3% +1.2% 14%

Low Screamer +3.6% +0.6% 9%

Rising Liner +0.7% -0.2% 4%

Maybe Homer +1.6% -0.8% 3%

Likely Homer -1.2% +0.6% 1%

No Doubter -0.9% +0.6% 20%

Routine Flyout -1.0% +2.3% 3%

Pop up -1.4% -0.7%

24.5% of Patrick Bailey's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 0.2% higher than the league average. 25.9% of batted balls allowed by Griffin Canning are hit at above 100 mph, which is 1.6% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Below 75 mph -2.5% +0.3% 21%

75 to 86 mph +1.5% -2.3% 18%

87 to 93 mph -1.6% -0.8% 19%

94 to 99 mph +2.4% +1.2% 24%

Above 100 mph +0.2% +1.6%

8.2% of Patrick Bailey's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 3.2% lower than the league average. 12.5% of batted balls allowed by Griffin Canning are hit at this angle, which is 1.1% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%