Matchup Machine

      Patrick Bailey

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      matchup for Cal Quantrill

      184th out of 436 (Best 43%)

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      Cal Quantrill

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      matchup for Patrick Bailey

      3rd out of 564 (Best 1%)

      Extreme advantage for Bailey
      10

      Model Prediction

      Patrick Bailey has a 38.6% chance of reaching base vs Cal Quantrill, which is 7.6% higher than Bailey's typical expectations, and 0.3% higher than batters facing Quantrill.

      Handedness and Release Point

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      Patrick Bailey is slightly better vs right-handed pitching. Cal Quantrill is right handed with an over-the-top delivery. Bailey has an F grade vs this particular release point.

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      On the Way to the Plate

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      Cal Quantrill throws a Sinker 41% of the time. Patrick Bailey has an A- grade against right-handed Sinkers

      Pitch Type % of Arsenal    Sinker (R)
      41%
         Cutter (R)
      19%
         Changeup (R)
      10%
         Splitter (R)
      9%
         Slider (R)
      8%
         Curve (R)
      8%
         4-Seam (R)
      5%

      Contact and Outcomes

      14.4% of Patrick Bailey's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 0.4% lower than the league average. Cal Quantrill strikes out 11.3% of the batters he faces, which is 6.4% lower than the typical MLB rate.

      MLB Typical BP Label 14%         Strikeout -0.4% -6.4% 4%         Walk +0.0% +0.9% 39%         In Play +0.3% +5.5% 39%         On Base +1.3% +4.1% 31%         Hit +1.2% +3.2% 14%         Single +0.8% +1.0% 13%         2B / 3B +1.4% +1.3% 3%         Home Run -1.0% +1.0%

      History

      Patrick Bailey has 3 plate appearances against Cal Quantrill in the last 3 years. He is 0 for 3.

      PA AB H HR 2/3B 1B K BB Avg
      Actual330000000.000
      Expected From Contact →1.080.000.260.810.359
      Expected From Contact
      Date Outcome HR 2/3B 1B Out
      2024-07-19Groundout37%63%
      2024-07-19Lineout23%13%64%
      2024-07-19Groundout3%31%66%

      Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.