Matchup Machine | Ballpark Pal

Michael Harris II

matchup for Brandon Pfaadt

372nd out of 436 (Worst 15%)

Brandon Pfaadt

matchup for M. Harris II

224th out of 564 (Best 41%)

Strong advantage for Harris II

Michael Harris II has a 34.1% chance of reaching base vs Brandon Pfaadt, which is 2.0% higher than Harris II's typical expectations, and 1.6% higher than batters facing Pfaadt.

	Reach	Hit	HR	2B / 3B	1B	BB	K
Prediction	34.1%	29.1%	3.2%	5.9%	20.0%	5.0%	22.9%
Harris II	+2.0	+2.4	+0.3	+0.2	+2.0	-0.4	+3.8
Pfaadt	+1.6	+4.6	+0.0	+0.6	+3.9	-2.9	-6.2

Michael Harris II is about the same vs right-handed pitching as he is against left. Brandon Pfaadt is right handed with a moderate release toward the third base side. Harris II has an A grade vs this particular release point.

Brandon Pfaadt throws a 4-seam fastball 38% of the time. Michael Harris II has a B+ grade against right-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type

% of Arsenal

4-Seam (R)

38%

Slider (R)

27%

Sinker (R)

18%

Changeup (R)

12%

Curve (R)

19% of Brandon Pfaadt's pitches are classified as Edge Painters, which is 2% higher than the MLB average. Michael Harris II has an A grade against this type of pitch.

Show pitch label key

Pitch Label

% vs MLB

Edge Painter 19%

+2%

Mid Challenge 12%

+1%

Strong Challenge 6%

+1%

Likely Ball 20%

+0%

Meatball 6%

Fringe Miss 12%

Weak Challenge 8%

Chaser 5%

-1%

Non-Competitive 9%

-3%

29% of Brandon Pfaadt's pitches are classified as Just Gravity, which is 15% higher than the MLB average. Michael Harris II has an A grade against this type of pitch.

Physical Trait

% vs MLB

Just Gravity 29%

+15%

Medium Fast Velo 30%

+15%

Large Break 15%

+10%

11.9% of Michael Harris II's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 4.6% lower than the league average. Brandon Pfaadt strikes out 16.5% of the batters he faces, which is 1.2% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Strikeout -4.6% +1.2% 6%

Walk -3.7% -2.4% 36%

In Play +8.3% +1.2% 39%

On Base +3.8% -0.1% 31%

Hit +7.5% +2.4% 14%

Single +2.7% +0.5% 13%

2B / 3B +3.4% +0.9% 3%

Home Run +1.4% +1.0%

41.2% of Michael Harris II's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 6.7% higher than the league average. Brandon Pfaadt induces Standard Grounders at a 32.0% rate, which is 2.4% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

Squib/Bunt +0.4% +0.5% 34%

Standard Grounder +6.7% -2.4% 7%

Hard Grounder +1.2% -0.6% 14%

Low Screamer -3.4% +2.6% 9%

Rising Liner +1.2% +0.2% 4%

Maybe Homer +0.4% -1.3% 3%

Likely Homer +0.8% +0.8% 1%

No Doubter -0.3% +0.3% 20%

Routine Flyout -7.4% +0.9% 3%

Pop up +0.3% -1.0%

36.0% of Michael Harris II's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 11.7% higher than the league average. 29.1% of batted balls allowed by Brandon Pfaadt are hit at above 100 mph, which is 4.8% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Below 75 mph +2.1% -0.9% 21%

75 to 86 mph -3.6% -5.4% 18%

87 to 93 mph -5.1% +5.7% 19%

94 to 99 mph -5.1% -4.1% 24%

Above 100 mph +11.7% +4.8%

7.0% of Michael Harris II's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 4.4% lower than the league average. 7.7% of batted balls allowed by Brandon Pfaadt are hit at this angle, which is 3.7% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%

Below -10° +7.7% -3.6% 12%

-10 to 0° +0.1% +5.5% 8%

1 to 6° +1.2% -1.5% 18%

7 to 18° +0.5% -2.0% 15%

19 to 28° -2.7% +3.9% 11%

29 to 38° -4.4% -3.7% 7%

39 to 50° -1.8% -0.9% 8%

Above 50° -0.6% +2.4%

Michael Harris II has 3 plate appearances against Brandon Pfaadt in the last 3 years. He is 1 for 3 with a double and

	PA	AB	H	HR	2/3B	1B	K	BB	Avg
Actual	3	3	1	0	1	0	1	0	0.333
Expected From Contact →			1.10	0.00	0.17	0.93			0.366

		Expected From Contact
Date	Outcome	HR	2/3B	1B	Out
2024-04-06	Forceout		12%	66%	21%
2024-04-06	Triple		5%	26%	69%
2024-04-06	Strikeout

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.

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Model Prediction

Handedness and Release Point

Click on a grade for a detailed view

On the Way to the Plate

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Contact and Outcomes

History

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Model Prediction

Handedness and Release Point

Click on a grade for a detailed view

On the Way to the Plate

Click on a grade for a detailed view

Contact and Outcomes

History

Matchup Machine
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