Matchup Machine

Michael Harris II

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matchup for Hunter Gaddis

374th out of 436 (Worst 14%)

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Hunter Gaddis

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matchup for M. Harris II

461st out of 567 (Worst 19%)

Leans in favor of Harris II
1

Model Prediction

Michael Harris II has a 28.7% chance of reaching base vs Hunter Gaddis, which is 3.4% lower than Harris II's typical expectations, and 1.3% higher than batters facing Gaddis.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction28.7%24.0%3.2%5.0%15.8%4.7%21.2%
Harris II-3.4-2.6+0.3-0.7-2.3-0.8+2.1
Gaddis+1.3+4.6+0.1+0.5+4.0-3.3-5.9

Handedness and Release Point

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Michael Harris II is about the same vs right-handed pitching as he is against left. Hunter Gaddis is right handed with an extreme release toward the third base side. Harris II has an A+ grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Hunter Gaddis throws a 4-seam fastball 39% of the time. Michael Harris II has a B+ grade against right-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    4-Seam (R)
39%
   Slider (R)
31%
   Changeup (R)
18%
   Cutter (R)
9%

Contact and Outcomes

11.9% of Michael Harris II's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 4.6% lower than the league average. Hunter Gaddis strikes out 15.5% of the batters he faces, which is 0.6% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 16%         Strikeout -4.6% -0.6% 6%         Walk -3.7% -1.7% 36%         In Play +8.3% +2.4% 39%         On Base +3.8% -5.5% 31%         Hit +7.5% -3.8% 14%         Single +2.7% -2.8% 13%         2B / 3B +3.4% -2.4% 3%         Home Run +1.4% +1.5%

History

Michael Harris II has 1 plate appearance against Hunter Gaddis in the last 3 years. He is 1 for 1.

PA AB H HR 2/3B 1B K BB Avg
Actual111001001.000
Expected From Contact →0.470.000.000.470.470
Expected From Contact
Date Outcome HR 2/3B 1B Out
2024-04-27Single47%53%

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.