Matchup Machine

Michael Harris II

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matchup for Jared Jones

265th out of 436 (Worst 39%)

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Jared Jones

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matchup for M. Harris II

458th out of 567 (Worst 19%)

Leans in favor of Harris II
1

Model Prediction

Michael Harris II has a 29.4% chance of reaching base vs Jared Jones, which is 2.7% lower than Harris II's typical expectations, and 1.7% lower than batters facing Jones.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction29.4%23.3%3.4%5.2%14.6%6.1%25.0%
Harris II-2.7-3.3+0.5-0.5-3.4+0.7+5.9
Jones-1.7+2.5+0.5+0.2+1.8-4.1-3.5

Handedness and Release Point

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Michael Harris II is about the same vs right-handed pitching as he is against left. Jared Jones is right handed with an over-the-top delivery. Harris II has a C grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Jared Jones throws a 4-seam fastball 49% of the time. Michael Harris II has a B+ grade against right-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    4-Seam (R)
49%
   Slider (R)
35%
   Curve (R)
9%
   Changeup (R)
7%

Contact and Outcomes

11.9% of Michael Harris II's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 4.6% lower than the league average. Jared Jones strikes out 15.6% of the batters he faces, which is 0.4% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 16%         Strikeout -4.6% +0.4% 6%         Walk -3.7% +0.6% 36%         In Play +8.3% -1.1% 39%         On Base +3.8% -0.1% 31%         Hit +7.5% -0.8% 14%         Single +2.7% -1.1% 13%         2B / 3B +3.4% -0.5% 3%         Home Run +1.4% +0.9%

History

No History in the last 3 years