Matchup Machine

Michael Harris II

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matchup for Garrett Crochet

403rd out of 436 (Worst 8%)

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Garrett Crochet

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matchup for M. Harris II

441st out of 567 (Worst 22%)

Leans in favor of Harris II
2

Model Prediction

Michael Harris II has a 30.1% chance of reaching base vs Garrett Crochet, which is 2.0% lower than Harris II's typical expectations, and 2.6% higher than batters facing Crochet.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction30.1%25.8%2.5%7.0%16.3%4.3%26.3%
Harris II-2.0-0.8-0.4+1.3-1.8-1.2+7.2
Crochet+2.6+4.9+0.1+1.9+2.9-2.3-9.0

Handedness and Release Point

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Michael Harris II is about the same vs left-handed pitching as he is against right. Garrett Crochet is left handed with an extreme release toward the first base side. Harris II has a B grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Garrett Crochet throws a 4-seam fastball 58% of the time. Michael Harris II has an A grade against left-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    4-Seam (L)
58%
   Cutter (L)
18%
   Slider (L)
16%
   Changeup (L)
6%

Contact and Outcomes

11.9% of Michael Harris II's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 4.6% lower than the league average. Garrett Crochet strikes out 21.3% of the batters he faces, which is 9.4% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 16%         Strikeout -4.6% +9.4% 6%         Walk -3.7% -1.3% 36%         In Play +8.3% -8.1% 39%         On Base +3.8% -3.9% 31%         Hit +7.5% -2.5% 14%         Single +2.7% -1.4% 13%         2B / 3B +3.4% -1.1% 3%         Home Run +1.4% +0.1%

History

Michael Harris II has 3 plate appearances against Garrett Crochet in the last 3 years. He is 0 for 3 with a strikeout.

PA AB H HR 2/3B 1B K BB Avg
Actual330000100.000
Expected From Contact →0.320.000.000.320.108
Expected From Contact
Date Outcome HR 2/3B 1B Out
2024-04-02Groundout3%97%
2024-04-02Groundout29%71%
2024-04-02Strikeout

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.