Matchup Machine | Ballpark Pal

Michael Harris II

matchup for Luis Castillo

409th out of 436 (Worst 6%)

Luis Castillo

matchup for M. Harris II

138th out of 567 (Best 25%)

Strong advantage for Harris II

Michael Harris II has a 33.4% chance of reaching base vs Luis Castillo, which is 1.3% higher than Harris II's typical expectations, and 2.6% higher than batters facing Castillo.

	Reach	Hit	HR	2B / 3B	1B	BB	K
Prediction	33.4%	28.9%	3.5%	6.4%	19.1%	4.5%	17.9%
Harris II	+1.3	+2.3	+0.6	+0.7	+1.1	-1.0	-1.2
Castillo	+2.6	+5.7	+0.4	+1.2	+4.1	-3.1	-6.7

Michael Harris II is about the same vs right-handed pitching as he is against left. Luis Castillo is right handed with a horizontal release toward the third base side. Harris II has an A grade vs this particular release point.

Luis Castillo throws a 4-seam fastball 40% of the time. Michael Harris II has a B+ grade against right-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type

% of Arsenal

4-Seam (R)

40%

Slider (R)

21%

Sinker (R)

20%

Changeup (R)

19%

6% of Luis Castillo's pitches are classified as Strong Challenges, which is 1% higher than the MLB average. Michael Harris II hasn't faced this type of pitch very often.

Show pitch label key

Pitch Label

% vs MLB

Strong Challenge 6%

+1%

Mid Challenge 12%

+1%

Chaser 7%

+1%

Edge Painter 18%

+1%

Fringe Miss 13%

+0%

Weak Challenge 8%

Likely Ball 19%

-1%

Non-Competitive 11%

-2%

Meatball 4%

-3%

43% of Luis Castillo's pitches are classified as Extreme Break Toward Third Base, which is 28% higher than the MLB average. Michael Harris II has a B+ grade against this type of pitch.

Physical Trait

% vs MLB

Extreme Break 43%

+28%

Very Fast Velo 29%

+21%

Medium Drop 24%

+11%

11.9% of Michael Harris II's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 4.6% lower than the league average. Luis Castillo strikes out 20.3% of the batters he faces, which is 7.2% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Strikeout -4.6% +7.2% 6%

Walk -3.7% -1.4% 36%

In Play +8.3% -5.8% 39%

On Base +3.8% -5.8% 31%

Hit +7.5% -4.4% 14%

Single +2.7% -2.1% 13%

2B / 3B +3.4% -1.8% 3%

Home Run +1.4% -0.5%

41.2% of Michael Harris II's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 6.7% higher than the league average. Luis Castillo induces Standard Grounders at a 37.0% rate, which is 2.6% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

Squib/Bunt +0.4% -0.4% 34%

Standard Grounder +6.7% +2.6% 7%

Hard Grounder +1.2% +0.5% 14%

Low Screamer -3.4% +0.8% 9%

Rising Liner +1.2% -0.2% 4%

Maybe Homer +0.4% +0.9% 3%

Likely Homer +0.8% -0.2% 1%

No Doubter -0.3% -0.2% 20%

Routine Flyout -7.4% -3.8% 3%

Pop up +0.3% 0.0%

36.0% of Michael Harris II's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 11.7% higher than the league average. 25.4% of batted balls allowed by Luis Castillo are hit at above 100 mph, which is 1.1% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Below 75 mph +2.1% +1.8% 21%

75 to 86 mph -3.6% +0.9% 18%

87 to 93 mph -5.1% -0.5% 19%

94 to 99 mph -5.1% -3.3% 24%

Above 100 mph +11.7% +1.1%

7.0% of Michael Harris II's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 4.4% lower than the league average. 11.4% of batted balls allowed by Luis Castillo are hit at this angle, which is 0.0% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%

Below -10° +7.7% +1.2% 12%

-10 to 0° +0.1% +1.9% 8%

1 to 6° +1.2% -0.8% 18%

7 to 18° +0.5% -1.0% 15%

19 to 28° -2.7% -1.5% 11%

29 to 38° -4.4% 0.0% 7%

39 to 50° -1.8% -1.2% 8%

Above 50° -0.6% +1.4%

Michael Harris II has 6 plate appearances against Luis Castillo in the last 3 years. He is 1 for 6 with a strikeout.

	PA	AB	H	HR	2/3B	1B	K	BB	Avg
Actual	6	6	1	0	0	1	1	0	0.167
Expected From Contact →			1.13	0.00	0.02	1.11			0.188

		Expected From Contact
Date	Outcome	HR	2/3B	1B	Out
2024-04-30	Single			60%	39%
2024-04-30	Pop Out				100%
2024-04-30	Groundout			30%	69%
2022-07-03	Strikeout
2022-07-03	Groundout			12%	88%
2022-07-03	Groundout			10%	90%

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.

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Model Prediction

Handedness and Release Point

Click on a grade for a detailed view

On the Way to the Plate

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Contact and Outcomes

History

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Model Prediction

Handedness and Release Point

Click on a grade for a detailed view

On the Way to the Plate

Click on a grade for a detailed view

Contact and Outcomes

History

Matchup Machine
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