Matchup Machine | Ballpark Pal

Michael Harris II

matchup for Zach Eflin

385th out of 436 (Worst 12%)

Zach Eflin

matchup for M. Harris II

260th out of 567 (Best 47%)

Strong advantage for Harris II

Michael Harris II has a 30.9% chance of reaching base vs Zach Eflin, which is 1.2% lower than Harris II's typical expectations, and 1.5% higher than batters facing Eflin.

	Reach	Hit	HR	2B / 3B	1B	BB	K
Prediction	30.9%	27.0%	3.2%	6.3%	17.4%	3.9%	14.8%
Harris II	-1.2	+0.4	+0.3	+0.7	-0.6	-1.6	-4.3
Eflin	+1.5	+3.8	+0.1	+0.8	+3.0	-2.4	-4.6

Michael Harris II is about the same vs right-handed pitching as he is against left. Zach Eflin is right handed with a horizontal release toward the third base side. Harris II has an A grade vs this particular release point.

Zach Eflin throws a Sinker 33% of the time. Michael Harris II has an A+ grade against right-handed Sinkers

Pitch Type

% of Arsenal

Sinker (R)

33%

Curve (R)

19%

Cutter (R)

16%

Slider (R)

13%

4-Seam (R)

10%

Changeup (R)

12% of Zach Eflin's pitches are classified as Weak Challenges, which is 4% higher than the MLB average. Michael Harris II has an A+ grade against this type of pitch.

Show pitch label key

Pitch Label

% vs MLB

Weak Challenge 12%

+4%

Edge Painter 19%

+2%

Fringe Miss 14%

+1%

Chaser 7%

+1%

Meatball 6%

Strong Challenge 4%

-1%

Likely Ball 18%

-1%

Mid Challenge 10%

-1%

Non-Competitive 9%

-4%

35% of Zach Eflin's pitches are classified as Extreme Break Toward Third Base, which is 20% higher than the MLB average. Michael Harris II has a B+ grade against this type of pitch.

Physical Trait

% vs MLB

Extreme Break 35%

+20%

Just Gravity 31%

+17%

Extreme Slow Velo 17%

+12%

11.9% of Michael Harris II's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 4.6% lower than the league average. Zach Eflin strikes out 15.6% of the batters he faces, which is 0.0% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Strikeout -4.6% 0.0% 6%

Walk -3.7% -4.0% 36%

In Play +8.3% +4.0% 39%

On Base +3.8% -3.7% 31%

Hit +7.5% +0.2% 14%

Single +2.7% +0.0% 13%

2B / 3B +3.4% +0.0% 3%

Home Run +1.4% +0.1%

41.2% of Michael Harris II's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 6.7% higher than the league average. Zach Eflin induces Standard Grounders at a 36.4% rate, which is 1.9% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

Squib/Bunt +0.4% +0.5% 34%

Standard Grounder +6.7% +1.9% 7%

Hard Grounder +1.2% -0.1% 14%

Low Screamer -3.4% -0.6% 9%

Rising Liner +1.2% -1.3% 4%

Maybe Homer +0.4% 0.0% 3%

Likely Homer +0.8% -1.0% 1%

No Doubter -0.3% +0.3% 20%

Routine Flyout -7.4% -0.1% 3%

Pop up +0.3% +0.4%

36.0% of Michael Harris II's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 11.7% higher than the league average. 25.7% of batted balls allowed by Zach Eflin are hit at above 100 mph, which is 1.4% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Below 75 mph +2.1% +1.7% 21%

75 to 86 mph -3.6% -1.5% 18%

87 to 93 mph -5.1% +1.7% 19%

94 to 99 mph -5.1% -3.4% 24%

Above 100 mph +11.7% +1.4%

7.0% of Michael Harris II's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 4.4% lower than the league average. 11.1% of batted balls allowed by Zach Eflin are hit at this angle, which is 0.3% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%

Below -10° +7.7% +1.7% 12%

-10 to 0° +0.1% +1.0% 8%

1 to 6° +1.2% -0.1% 18%

7 to 18° +0.5% -2.3% 15%

19 to 28° -2.7% -1.1% 11%

29 to 38° -4.4% -0.3% 7%

39 to 50° -1.8% +1.8% 8%

Above 50° -0.6% -0.8%

Michael Harris II has 2 plate appearances against Zach Eflin in the last 3 years. He is 0 for 2.

	PA	AB	H	HR	2/3B	1B	K	BB	Avg
Actual	2	2	0	0	0	0	0	0	0.000
Expected From Contact →			0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00			0.000

		Expected From Contact
Date	Outcome	HR	2/3B	1B	Out
2023-07-09	Groundout
2023-07-09	Groundout

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.

Matchup Machine
Log In Subscribe

Model Prediction

Handedness and Release Point

Click on a grade for a detailed view

On the Way to the Plate

Click on a grade for a detailed view

Contact and Outcomes

History

Matchup Machine Log InSubscribe

Model Prediction

Handedness and Release Point

Click on a grade for a detailed view

On the Way to the Plate

Click on a grade for a detailed view

Contact and Outcomes

History

Matchup Machine
Log In Subscribe