Matchup Machine

      Michael Harris II

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      matchup for Colin Rea

      372nd out of 436 (Worst 15%)

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      Colin Rea

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      matchup for M. Harris II

      43rd out of 564 (Best 8%)

      Extreme advantage for Harris II
      10

      Model Prediction

      Michael Harris II has a 34.7% chance of reaching base vs Colin Rea, which is 2.5% higher than Harris II's typical expectations, and 0.6% higher than batters facing Rea.

      Handedness and Release Point

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      Michael Harris II is about the same vs right-handed pitching as he is against left. Colin Rea is right handed with a horizontal release toward the third base side. Harris II has an A grade vs this particular release point.

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      On the Way to the Plate

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      Colin Rea throws a Sinker 29% of the time. Michael Harris II has an A+ grade against right-handed Sinkers

      Pitch Type % of Arsenal    Sinker (R)
      29%
         Cutter (R)
      22%
         4-Seam (R)
      21%
         Slider (R)
      13%
         Splitter (R)
      8%
         Curve (R)
      7%

      Contact and Outcomes

      11.9% of Michael Harris II's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 4.6% lower than the league average. Colin Rea strikes out 13.4% of the batters he faces, which is 3.1% lower than the typical MLB rate.

      MLB Typical BP Label 16%         Strikeout -4.6% -3.1% 6%         Walk -3.7% -1.6% 36%         In Play +8.3% +4.8% 39%         On Base +3.8% +0.8% 31%         Hit +7.5% +2.5% 14%         Single +2.7% +0.5% 13%         2B / 3B +3.4% +0.8% 3%         Home Run +1.4% +1.2%

      History

      Michael Harris II has 2 plate appearances against Colin Rea in the last 3 years. He is 0 for 2.

      PA AB H HR 2/3B 1B K BB Avg
      Actual220000000.000
      Expected From Contact →0.280.000.010.270.140
      Expected From Contact
      Date Outcome HR 2/3B 1B Out
      2023-07-30Groundout10%90%
      2023-07-30GIDP17%82%

      Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.