Matchup Machine

Michael Harris II

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matchup for Joe Mantiply

405th out of 436 (Worst 7%)

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Joe Mantiply

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matchup for M. Harris II

409th out of 567 (Worst 28%)

Moderate advantage for Harris II
3

Model Prediction

Michael Harris II has a 30.1% chance of reaching base vs Joe Mantiply, which is 2.0% lower than Harris II's typical expectations, and 1.9% higher than batters facing Mantiply.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction30.1%26.6%2.2%6.0%18.4%3.5%17.4%
Harris II-2.0+0.0-0.7+0.3+0.3-2.0-1.7
Mantiply+1.9+3.6+0.1+0.6+2.9-1.7-5.5

Handedness and Release Point

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Michael Harris II is about the same vs left-handed pitching as he is against right. Joe Mantiply is left handed with an extreme release toward the first base side. Harris II has a B grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Joe Mantiply throws a Sinker 42% of the time. Michael Harris II has a D+ grade against left-handed Sinkers

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    Sinker (L)
42%
   Curve (L)
29%
   Changeup (L)
24%

Contact and Outcomes

11.9% of Michael Harris II's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 4.6% lower than the league average. Joe Mantiply strikes out 16.1% of the batters he faces, which is 1.1% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 16%         Strikeout -4.6% +1.1% 6%         Walk -3.7% -3.1% 36%         In Play +8.3% +2.0% 39%         On Base +3.8% -2.8% 31%         Hit +7.5% +0.3% 14%         Single +2.7% +0.2% 13%         2B / 3B +3.4% +0.2% 3%         Home Run +1.4% -0.1%

History

Michael Harris II has 2 plate appearances against Joe Mantiply in the last 3 years. He is 0 for 2 with a strikeout.

PA AB H HR 2/3B 1B K BB Avg
Actual220000100.000
Expected From Contact →0.050.000.030.020.024
Expected From Contact
Date Outcome HR 2/3B 1B Out
2024-04-05Groundout3%2%95%
2022-05-31Strikeout

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.