Matchup Machine

Michael Harris II

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matchup for Dylan Floro

234th out of 436 (Worst 47%)

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Dylan Floro

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matchup for M. Harris II

228th out of 567 (Best 41%)

Strong advantage for Harris II
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Model Prediction

Michael Harris II has a 32.3% chance of reaching base vs Dylan Floro, which is 0.2% higher than Harris II's typical expectations, and 1.3% lower than batters facing Floro.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction32.3%28.8%2.9%5.2%20.7%3.5%12.4%
Harris II+0.2+2.20.0-0.5+2.7-2.0-6.7
Floro-1.3+2.4-0.10.0+2.6-3.7-4.3

Handedness and Release Point

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Michael Harris II is about the same vs right-handed pitching as he is against left. Dylan Floro is right handed with an extreme release toward the third base side. Harris II has an A+ grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Dylan Floro throws a Sinker 41% of the time. Michael Harris II has an A+ grade against right-handed Sinkers

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    Sinker (R)
41%
   Slider (R)
24%
   4-Seam (R)
22%
   Changeup (R)
14%

Contact and Outcomes

11.9% of Michael Harris II's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 4.6% lower than the league average. Dylan Floro strikes out 13.9% of the batters he faces, which is 2.5% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 16%         Strikeout -4.6% -2.5% 6%         Walk -3.7% -1.6% 36%         In Play +8.3% +4.0% 39%         On Base +3.8% +3.4% 31%         Hit +7.5% +5.0% 14%         Single +2.7% +3.0% 13%         2B / 3B +3.4% +3.3% 3%         Home Run +1.4% -1.3%

History

Michael Harris II has 4 plate appearances against Dylan Floro in the last 3 years. He is 1 for 4 with a double and

PA AB H HR 2/3B 1B K BB Avg
Actual441010200.250
Expected From Contact →0.450.000.230.220.112
Expected From Contact
Date Outcome HR 2/3B 1B Out
2023-07-02Strikeout
2023-07-01Strikeout
2022-08-14Double23%21%56%
2022-05-29Flyout100%

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.