Matchup Machine

Lawrence Butler

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matchup for Ryan Weathers

223rd out of 436 (Worst 49%)

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Ryan Weathers

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matchup for Lawrence Butler

482nd out of 567 (Worst 15%)

Leans in favor of Weathers
2

Model Prediction

Lawrence Butler has a 29.1% chance of reaching base vs Ryan Weathers, which is 3.9% lower than Butler's typical expectations, and 0.8% lower than batters facing Weathers.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction29.1%20.6%2.3%5.1%13.2%8.4%23.4%
Butler-3.9-2.9-0.7-0.2-1.9-1.1-0.3
Weathers-0.8-0.9+0.2-0.5-0.7+0.1-1.3

Handedness and Release Point

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Lawrence Butler is about the same vs left-handed pitching as he is against right. Ryan Weathers is left handed with an extreme release toward the first base side. Butler doesn't have many appearances against this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Ryan Weathers throws a 4-seam fastball 44% of the time. Lawrence Butler hasn't faced this pitch from left handers very often.

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    4-Seam (L)
44%
   Slider (L)
25%
   Changeup (L)
18%
   Sinker (L)
13%

Contact and Outcomes

13.5% of Lawrence Butler's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 1.9% lower than the league average. Ryan Weathers strikes out 14.3% of the batters he faces, which is 2.1% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 15%         Strikeout -1.9% -2.1% 4%         Walk -0.4% -0.6% 39%         In Play +2.4% +2.7% 39%         On Base +0.5% +0.9% 31%         Hit +0.9% +1.5% 14%         Single +0.0% +0.9% 13%         2B / 3B +0.2% +1.2% 3%         Home Run +0.7% -0.5%

History

No History in the last 3 years