Matchup Machine

      Lawrence Butler

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      matchup for Jose Marte

      300th out of 436 (Worst 31%)

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      Jose Marte

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      matchup for Lawrence Butler

      57th out of 564 (Best 11%)

      Extreme advantage for Butler
      9

      Model Prediction

      Lawrence Butler has a 37.1% chance of reaching base vs Jose Marte, which is 4.8% higher than Butler's typical expectations, and 0.0% higher than batters facing Marte.

      Handedness and Release Point

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      Lawrence Butler is about the same vs right-handed pitching as he is against left. Jose Marte is right handed with a horizontal release toward the third base side. Butler has a B grade vs this particular release point.

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      On the Way to the Plate

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      Jose Marte throws a Cutter 31% of the time. Lawrence Butler hasn't faced this pitch from right handers very often

      Pitch Type % of Arsenal    Cutter (R)
      31%
         4-Seam (R)
      29%
         Sinker (R)
      25%
         Slider (R)
      7%
         Changeup (R)
      7%

      Contact and Outcomes

      13.5% of Lawrence Butler's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 1.9% lower than the league average. Jose Marte strikes out 11.0% of the batters he faces, which is 6.3% lower than the typical MLB rate.

      MLB Typical BP Label 15%         Strikeout -1.9% -6.3% 4%         Walk -0.4% +9.0% 39%         In Play +2.4% -2.7% 39%         On Base +0.5% +11.7% 31%         Hit +0.9% +2.7% 14%         Single +0.0% +1.3% 13%         2B / 3B +0.2% +1.7% 3%         Home Run +0.7% -0.3%

      History

      Lawrence Butler has 5 plate appearances against Jose Marte in the last 3 years. He is 3 for 5 with a home run and

      PA AB H HR 2/3B 1B K BB Avg
      Actual553102100.600
      Expected From Contact →2.120.870.061.190.423
      Expected From Contact
      Date Outcome HR 2/3B 1B Out
      2024-07-28Strikeout
      2024-07-04Home Run87%5%9%
      2024-07-02Single2%97%
      2024-06-25Sac Fly91%8%
      2023-09-03Single26%74%

      Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.