Matchup Machine

Lawrence Butler

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matchup for Elvin Rodriguez

355th out of 436 (Worst 19%)

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Elvin Rodriguez

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matchup for Lawrence Butler

out of 567 (Worst %)

Extreme advantage for Butler
10

Model Prediction

Lawrence Butler has a 37.8% chance of reaching base vs Elvin Rodriguez, which is 4.8% higher than Butler's typical expectations, and 2.5% higher than batters facing Rodriguez.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction37.8%26.6%3.1%6.0%17.5%11.1%21.3%
Butler+4.8+3.1+0.1+0.7+2.4+1.7-2.5
Rodriguez+2.5+2.0+0.1+0.1+1.8+0.5-0.4

Handedness and Release Point

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Lawrence Butler is about the same vs right-handed pitching as he is against left. Elvin Rodriguez is right handed .

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On the Way to the Plate

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Elvin Rodriguez throws a 4-seam fastball 51% of the time. Lawrence Butler has a D grade against right-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    4-Seam (R)
51%
   Slider (R)
21%
   Changeup (R)
13%
   Curve (R)
12%

Contact and Outcomes

13.5% of Lawrence Butler's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 1.9% lower than the league average. Elvin Rodriguez strikes out 16.4% of the batters he faces, which is 6.5% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 15%         Strikeout -1.9% +6.5% 4%         Walk -0.4% +4.1% 39%         In Play +2.4% -10.5% 39%         On Base +0.5% +8.4% 31%         Hit +0.9% +4.3% 14%         Single +0.0% +0.1% 13%         2B / 3B +0.2% +0.5% 3%         Home Run +0.7% +3.7%

History

No History in the last 3 years