Matchup Machine

Lawrence Butler

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matchup for Clarke Schmidt

359th out of 436 (Worst 18%)

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Clarke Schmidt

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matchup for Lawrence Butler

337th out of 567 (Worst 41%)

Moderate advantage for Butler
4

Model Prediction

Lawrence Butler has a 34.1% chance of reaching base vs Clarke Schmidt, which is 1.1% higher than Butler's typical expectations, and 2.1% higher than batters facing Schmidt.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction34.1%20.3%2.8%3.9%13.7%13.7%24.5%
Butler+1.1-3.1-0.2-1.5-1.4+4.2+0.8
Schmidt+2.1+0.8+0.4-0.2+0.6+1.3-0.5

Handedness and Release Point

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Lawrence Butler is about the same vs right-handed pitching as he is against left. Clarke Schmidt is right handed with an over-the-top delivery. Butler has a C- grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Clarke Schmidt throws a Slider 28% of the time. Lawrence Butler has an A grade against right-handed Sliders

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    Slider (R)
28%
   Cutter (R)
24%
   Sinker (R)
23%
   Kn-Curve (R)
19%

Contact and Outcomes

13.5% of Lawrence Butler's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 1.9% lower than the league average. Clarke Schmidt strikes out 15.8% of the batters he faces, which is 0.3% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 15%         Strikeout -1.9% +0.3% 4%         Walk -0.4% +1.6% 39%         In Play +2.4% -1.9% 39%         On Base +0.5% -0.3% 31%         Hit +0.9% -2.0% 14%         Single +0.0% -1.1% 13%         2B / 3B +0.2% -0.8% 3%         Home Run +0.7% 0.0%

History

Lawrence Butler has 2 plate appearances against Clarke Schmidt in the last 3 years. He is 1 for 2.

PA AB H HR 2/3B 1B K BB Avg
Actual221001000.500
Expected From Contact →1.290.000.011.280.644
Expected From Contact
Date Outcome HR 2/3B 1B Out
2024-04-24Single92%8%
2024-04-24Groundout36%64%

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.