Matchup Machine | Ballpark Pal

Lawrence Butler

matchup for Aaron Nola

385th out of 436 (Worst 12%)

Aaron Nola

matchup for Lawrence Butler

292nd out of 567 (Worst 49%)

Moderate advantage for Butler

Lawrence Butler has a 32.8% chance of reaching base vs Aaron Nola, which is 0.2% higher than Butler's typical expectations, and 3.3% higher than batters facing Nola.

	Reach	Hit	HR	2B / 3B	1B	BB	K
Prediction	32.8%	25.1%	2.9%	7.5%	14.7%	7.7%	27.8%
Butler	-0.2	+1.6	-0.2	+2.2	-0.4	-1.8	+4.0
Nola	+3.3	+2.7	-0.1	+1.3	+1.6	+0.6	-3.1

Lawrence Butler is about the same vs right-handed pitching as he is against left. Aaron Nola is right handed with a moderate release toward the third base side. Butler has an A grade vs this particular release point.

Aaron Nola throws a Kn-Curve 30% of the time. Lawrence Butler hasn't faced this pitch from right handers very often

Pitch Type

% of Arsenal

Kn-Curve (R)

30%

4-Seam (R)

30%

Sinker (R)

20%

Changeup (R)

12%

Cutter (R)

8% of Aaron Nola's pitches are classified as Chasers, which is 2% higher than the MLB average. Lawrence Butler hasn't faced this type of pitch very often.

Show pitch label key

Pitch Label

% vs MLB

Chaser 8%

+2%

Edge Painter 19%

+1%

Fringe Miss 13%

+1%

Mid Challenge 12%

+0%

Strong Challenge 5%

+0%

Weak Challenge 8%

Likely Ball 19%

Meatball 5%

-1%

Non-Competitive 9%

-4%

26% of Aaron Nola's pitches are classified as Extreme Drop, which is 21% higher than the MLB average. Lawrence Butler hasn't faced this type of pitch enough to assign a grade.

Physical Trait

% vs MLB

Extreme Drop 26%

+21%

Extreme Slow Velo 23%

+18%

Large Break 22%

+18%

13.5% of Lawrence Butler's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 1.9% lower than the league average. Aaron Nola strikes out 20.3% of the batters he faces, which is 6.3% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

15%

Strikeout -1.9% +6.3% 4%

Walk -0.4% -2.8% 39%

In Play +2.4% -3.5% 39%

On Base +0.5% -4.8% 31%

Hit +0.9% -2.0% 14%

Single +0.0% -0.8% 13%

2B / 3B +0.2% -0.7% 3%

Home Run +0.7% -0.5%

33.6% of Lawrence Butler's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 0.9% lower than the league average. Aaron Nola induces Standard Grounders at a 37.3% rate, which is 2.9% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

Squib/Bunt +0.1% 0.0% 34%

Standard Grounder -0.9% +2.9% 7%

Hard Grounder -0.3% -0.6% 14%

Low Screamer 0.0% -1.6% 9%

Rising Liner -2.1% +0.5% 4%

Maybe Homer -0.3% -0.3% 3%

Likely Homer +1.6% +0.1% 1%

No Doubter -0.3% +0.1% 20%

Routine Flyout +3.2% -0.4% 3%

Pop up -1.0% -0.7%

28.3% of Lawrence Butler's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 4.0% higher than the league average. 23.6% of batted balls allowed by Aaron Nola are hit at above 100 mph, which is 0.7% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Below 75 mph -1.4% +0.6% 21%

75 to 86 mph -1.8% -0.2% 18%

87 to 93 mph -1.5% +2.2% 19%

94 to 99 mph +0.7% -1.9% 24%

Above 100 mph +4.0% -0.7%

11.2% of Lawrence Butler's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 0.3% lower than the league average. 10.9% of batted balls allowed by Aaron Nola are hit at this angle, which is 0.6% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%