Matchup Machine | Ballpark Pal

Lawrence Butler

matchup for Shelby Miller

268th out of 436 (Worst 39%)

Shelby Miller

matchup for Lawrence Butler

413th out of 567 (Worst 27%)

Leans in favor of Butler

Lawrence Butler has a 29.9% chance of reaching base vs Shelby Miller, which is 3.1% lower than Butler's typical expectations, and 0.7% higher than batters facing Miller.

	Reach	Hit	HR	2B / 3B	1B	BB	K
Prediction	29.9%	21.5%	3.4%	5.2%	12.9%	8.4%	24.4%
Butler	-3.1	-2.0	+0.4	-0.2	-2.2	-1.1	+0.7
Miller	+0.7	+0.3	-0.3	+0.1	+0.4	+0.3	-0.3

Lawrence Butler is about the same vs right-handed pitching as he is against left. Shelby Miller is right handed with an over-the-top delivery. Butler has a C- grade vs this particular release point.

Shelby Miller throws a 4-seam fastball 56% of the time. Lawrence Butler has a D grade against right-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type

% of Arsenal

4-Seam (R)

56%

Slider (R)

11%

Curve (R)

10%

Splitter (R)

Cutter (R)

14% of Shelby Miller's pitches are classified as Mid Challenges, which is 3% higher than the MLB average. Lawrence Butler has an A+ grade against this type of pitch.

Show pitch label key

Pitch Label

% vs MLB

Mid Challenge 14%

+3%

Strong Challenge 7%

+2%

Non-Competitive 14%

+1%

Edge Painter 18%

+1%

Meatball 7%

+1%

Fringe Miss 13%

+0%

Weak Challenge 6%

-2%

Chaser 4%

-2%

Likely Ball 17%

-3%

27% of Shelby Miller's pitches are classified as High Ride, which is 16% higher than the MLB average. Lawrence Butler has an A- grade against this type of pitch.

Physical Trait

% vs MLB

High Ride 27%

+16%

Medium Fast Velo 28%

+13%

Medium Break 31%

+12%

Fastball (R) 64%

+10%

13.5% of Lawrence Butler's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 1.9% lower than the league average. Shelby Miller strikes out 16.1% of the batters he faces, which is 0.3% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

15%

Strikeout -1.9% +0.3% 4%

Walk -0.4% +0.8% 39%

In Play +2.4% -1.1% 39%

On Base +0.5% -4.9% 31%

Hit +0.9% -5.7% 14%

Single +0.0% -3.1% 13%

2B / 3B +0.2% -2.8% 3%

Home Run +0.7% +0.3%

33.6% of Lawrence Butler's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 0.9% lower than the league average. Shelby Miller induces Standard Grounders at a 34.0% rate, which is 0.4% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

Squib/Bunt +0.1% -0.6% 34%

Standard Grounder -0.9% -0.4% 7%

Hard Grounder -0.3% 0.0% 14%

Low Screamer 0.0% -2.8% 9%

Rising Liner -2.1% -0.2% 4%

Maybe Homer -0.3% -1.1% 3%

Likely Homer +1.6% -0.1% 1%

No Doubter -0.3% +0.6% 20%

Routine Flyout +3.2% +3.5% 3%

Pop up -1.0% +1.2%

28.3% of Lawrence Butler's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 4.0% higher than the league average. 25.5% of batted balls allowed by Shelby Miller are hit at above 100 mph, which is 1.2% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Below 75 mph -1.4% -4.8% 21%

75 to 86 mph -1.8% -1.3% 18%

87 to 93 mph -1.5% +2.4% 19%

94 to 99 mph +0.7% +2.5% 24%

Above 100 mph +4.0% +1.2%

11.2% of Lawrence Butler's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 0.3% lower than the league average. 10.1% of batted balls allowed by Shelby Miller are hit at this angle, which is 1.4% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%