Matchup Machine

Tyler Freeman

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matchup for Jared Jones

378th out of 436 (Worst 14%)

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Jared Jones

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matchup for Tyler Freeman

284th out of 567 (Best 51%)

Strong advantage for Freeman
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Model Prediction

Tyler Freeman has a 33.7% chance of reaching base vs Jared Jones, which is 0.7% higher than Freeman's typical expectations, and 2.6% higher than batters facing Jones.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction33.7%24.0%2.1%5.9%16.0%9.7%18.3%
Freeman+0.7-0.4+0.3+0.5-1.2+1.1+2.9
Jones+2.6+3.2-0.9+0.8+3.2-0.5-10.3

Handedness and Release Point

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Tyler Freeman is worse vs right-handed pitching. Jared Jones is right handed with an over-the-top delivery. Freeman has a B- grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Jared Jones throws a 4-seam fastball 49% of the time. Tyler Freeman has an F grade against right-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    4-Seam (R)
49%
   Slider (R)
35%
   Curve (R)
9%
   Changeup (R)
7%

Contact and Outcomes

8.9% of Tyler Freeman's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 9.5% lower than the league average. Jared Jones strikes out 15.6% of the batters he faces, which is 0.4% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 18%         Strikeout -9.5% +0.4% 4%         Walk -0.5% +0.6% 35%         In Play +10.0% -1.1% 39%         On Base +2.3% -0.1% 31%         Hit +2.7% -0.8% 14%         Single +1.8% -1.1% 13%         2B / 3B +1.9% -0.5% 3%         Home Run -1.0% +0.9%

History

No History in the last 3 years