Matchup Machine

Tyler Freeman

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matchup for Garrett Crochet

369th out of 436 (Worst 16%)

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Garrett Crochet

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matchup for Tyler Freeman

517th out of 567 (Worst 9%)

Leans in favor of Crochet
2

Model Prediction

Tyler Freeman has a 29.9% chance of reaching base vs Garrett Crochet, which is 3.1% lower than Freeman's typical expectations, and 2.5% higher than batters facing Crochet.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction29.9%22.9%1.6%5.4%15.9%7.1%23.4%
Freeman-3.1-1.5-0.2+0.1-1.4-1.5+8.0
Crochet+2.5+2.0-0.9+0.4+2.4+0.5-11.9

Handedness and Release Point

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Tyler Freeman is better vs left-handed pitching. Garrett Crochet is left handed with an extreme release toward the first base side. Freeman doesn't have many appearances against this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Garrett Crochet throws a 4-seam fastball 58% of the time. Tyler Freeman has a C+ grade against left-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    4-Seam (L)
58%
   Cutter (L)
18%
   Slider (L)
16%
   Changeup (L)
6%

Contact and Outcomes

8.9% of Tyler Freeman's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 9.5% lower than the league average. Garrett Crochet strikes out 21.3% of the batters he faces, which is 9.4% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 18%         Strikeout -9.5% +9.4% 4%         Walk -0.5% -1.3% 35%         In Play +10.0% -8.1% 39%         On Base +2.3% -3.9% 31%         Hit +2.7% -2.5% 14%         Single +1.8% -1.4% 13%         2B / 3B +1.9% -1.1% 3%         Home Run -1.0% +0.1%

History

Tyler Freeman has 2 plate appearances against Garrett Crochet in the last 3 years. He is 0 for 2 with a strikeout.

PA AB H HR 2/3B 1B K BB Avg
Actual220000100.000
Expected From Contact →0.030.000.030.000.017
Expected From Contact
Date Outcome HR 2/3B 1B Out
2024-05-10Flyout3%97%
2024-05-10Strikeout

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.