Matchup Machine

Tyler Freeman

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matchup for Clarke Schmidt

333rd out of 436 (Worst 24%)

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Clarke Schmidt

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matchup for Tyler Freeman

399th out of 567 (Worst 30%)

Moderate advantage for Freeman
3

Model Prediction

Tyler Freeman has a 32.6% chance of reaching base vs Clarke Schmidt, which is 0.4% higher than Freeman's typical expectations, and 0.7% higher than batters facing Schmidt.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction32.6%21.5%1.6%4.7%15.2%11.1%16.7%
Freeman-0.4-2.9-0.2-0.6-2.0+2.5+1.3
Schmidt+0.7+1.9-0.8+0.7+2.1-1.3-8.3

Handedness and Release Point

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Tyler Freeman is worse vs right-handed pitching. Clarke Schmidt is right handed with an over-the-top delivery. Freeman has a B- grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Clarke Schmidt throws a Slider 28% of the time. Tyler Freeman has an A grade against right-handed Sliders

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    Slider (R)
28%
   Cutter (R)
24%
   Sinker (R)
23%
   Kn-Curve (R)
19%

Contact and Outcomes

8.9% of Tyler Freeman's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 9.5% lower than the league average. Clarke Schmidt strikes out 15.8% of the batters he faces, which is 0.3% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 18%         Strikeout -9.5% +0.3% 4%         Walk -0.5% +1.6% 35%         In Play +10.0% -1.9% 39%         On Base +2.3% -0.3% 31%         Hit +2.7% -2.0% 14%         Single +1.8% -1.1% 13%         2B / 3B +1.9% -0.8% 3%         Home Run -1.0% 0.0%

History

Tyler Freeman has 2 plate appearances against Clarke Schmidt in the last 3 years. He is 0 for 2.

PA AB H HR 2/3B 1B K BB Avg
Actual220000000.000
Expected From Contact →0.280.000.000.280.142
Expected From Contact
Date Outcome HR 2/3B 1B Out
2024-04-13GIDP21%79%
2024-04-13Forceout7%92%

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.