Tyler Freeman has a 31.1% chance of reaching base vs Freddy Peralta, which is 1.9% lower than Freeman's typical expectations, and 1.7% higher than batters facing Peralta.
Reach | Hit | HR | 2B / 3B | 1B | BB | K | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Prediction | 31.1% | 20.0% | 1.7% | 4.2% | 14.0% | 11.2% | 15.8% |
Freeman | -1.9 | -4.4 | -0.1 | -1.1 | -3.2 | +2.6 | +0.4 |
Peralta | +1.7 | +2.0 | -1.2 | +0.3 | +2.9 | -0.3 | -11.2 |
Tyler Freeman is worse vs right-handed pitching. Freddy Peralta is right handed with an extreme release toward the third base side. Freeman doesn't have many appearances against this particular release point.
Freddy Peralta throws a 4-seam fastball 53% of the time. Tyler Freeman has an F grade against right-handed 4-seamers
8.9% of Tyler Freeman's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 9.5% lower than the league average. Freddy Peralta strikes out 21.5% of the batters he faces, which is 8.8% higher than the typical MLB rate.
Tyler Freeman has 2 plate appearances against Freddy Peralta in the last 3 years. He is 1 for 2 with a strikeout.
PA | AB | H | HR | 2/3B | 1B | K | BB | Avg | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Actual | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0.500 |
Expected From Contact → | 0.57 | 0.00 | 0.01 | 0.56 | 0.283 |
Expected From Contact | |||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Date | Outcome | HR | 2/3B | 1B | Out |
2024-08-17 | Strikeout | ||||
2024-08-17 | Single | 56% | 43% |
Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.