Matchup Machine

Tyler Freeman

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matchup for Freddy Peralta

344th out of 436 (Worst 21%)

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Freddy Peralta

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matchup for Tyler Freeman

457th out of 567 (Worst 20%)

Leans in favor of Freeman
1

Model Prediction

Tyler Freeman has a 31.1% chance of reaching base vs Freddy Peralta, which is 1.9% lower than Freeman's typical expectations, and 1.7% higher than batters facing Peralta.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction31.1%20.0%1.7%4.2%14.0%11.2%15.8%
Freeman-1.9-4.4-0.1-1.1-3.2+2.6+0.4
Peralta+1.7+2.0-1.2+0.3+2.9-0.3-11.2

Handedness and Release Point

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Tyler Freeman is worse vs right-handed pitching. Freddy Peralta is right handed with an extreme release toward the third base side. Freeman doesn't have many appearances against this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Freddy Peralta throws a 4-seam fastball 53% of the time. Tyler Freeman has an F grade against right-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    4-Seam (R)
53%
   Slider (R)
22%
   Changeup (R)
14%
   Curve (R)
11%

Contact and Outcomes

8.9% of Tyler Freeman's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 9.5% lower than the league average. Freddy Peralta strikes out 21.5% of the batters he faces, which is 8.8% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 18%         Strikeout -9.5% +8.8% 4%         Walk -0.5% +1.0% 35%         In Play +10.0% -9.8% 39%         On Base +2.3% -6.8% 31%         Hit +2.7% -7.8% 14%         Single +1.8% -3.9% 13%         2B / 3B +1.9% -3.6% 3%         Home Run -1.0% -0.3%

History

Tyler Freeman has 2 plate appearances against Freddy Peralta in the last 3 years. He is 1 for 2 with a strikeout.

PA AB H HR 2/3B 1B K BB Avg
Actual221001100.500
Expected From Contact →0.570.000.010.560.283
Expected From Contact
Date Outcome HR 2/3B 1B Out
2024-08-17Strikeout
2024-08-17Single56%43%

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.