Matchup Machine

Tyler Freeman

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matchup for Tyler Mahle

333rd out of 436 (Worst 24%)

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Tyler Mahle

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matchup for Tyler Freeman

out of 567 (Worst %)

Moderate advantage for Freeman
4

Model Prediction

Tyler Freeman has a 32.2% chance of reaching base vs Tyler Mahle, which is 0.8% lower than Freeman's typical expectations, and 1.9% higher than batters facing Mahle.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction32.2%23.4%2.0%4.8%16.6%8.8%15.5%
Freeman-0.8-1.0+0.2-0.5-0.7+0.2+0.1
Mahle+1.9+2.4-1.4+0.6+3.2-0.5-9.7

Handedness and Release Point

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Tyler Freeman is worse vs right-handed pitching. Tyler Mahle is right handed with a moderate release toward the third base side. Freeman has a D+ grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Tyler Mahle throws a 4-seam fastball 55% of the time. Tyler Freeman has an F grade against right-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    4-Seam (R)
55%
   Slider (R)
19%
   Splitter (R)
16%
   Curve (R)
5%

Contact and Outcomes

8.9% of Tyler Freeman's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 9.5% lower than the league average. Tyler Mahle strikes out 23.6% of the batters he faces, which is 10.2% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 18%         Strikeout -9.5% +10.2% 4%         Walk -0.5% -1.2% 35%         In Play +10.0% -9.0% 39%         On Base +2.3% -5.6% 31%         Hit +2.7% -4.3% 14%         Single +1.8% -1.6% 13%         2B / 3B +1.9% -1.4% 3%         Home Run -1.0% -1.4%

History

No History in the last 3 years