matchup for A.J. Puk
2
Tyler Freeman has a 29.4% chance of reaching base vs A.J. Puk, which is 3.5% lower than Freeman's typical expectations, and 4.8% higher than batters facing Puk.
| Reach | Hit | HR | 2B / 3B | 1B | BB | K | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Prediction | 29.4% | 22.9% | 1.7% | 5.8% | 15.3% | 6.6% | 23.4% |
| Freeman | -3.5 | -1.6 | -0.1 | +0.5 | -2.0 | -1.9 | +7.9 |
| Puk | +4.8 | +4.2 | -0.9 | +1.2 | +3.8 | +0.7 | -14.0 |
Tyler Freeman is better vs left-handed pitching. A.J. Puk is left handed with an extreme release toward the first base side. Freeman doesn't have many appearances against this particular release point.
A.J. Puk throws a 4-seam fastball 47% of the time. Tyler Freeman has a C+ grade against left-handed 4-seamers
Pitch Type
% of Arsenal
4-Seam (L)
47%
Slider (L)
38%
Sinker (L)
13%
16% of A.J. Puk's pitches are classified as Mid Challenges, which is 5% higher than the MLB average. Tyler Freeman has a D grade against this type of pitch.
Pitch Label
% vs MLB
Mid Challenge
16%
+5%
Strong Challenge
7%
+1%
Edge Painter
18%
+1%
Chaser
6%
+0%
Weak Challenge
9%
0%
Fringe Miss
12%
-1%
Non-Competitive
11%
-2%
Likely Ball
17%
-2%
Meatball
3%
-3%
30% of A.J. Puk's pitches are classified as Very Fast Velocity, which is 27% higher than the MLB average. Tyler Freeman hasn't faced this type of pitch enough to assign a grade.
Physical Trait
% vs MLB
Very Fast Velo
30%
+27%
Large Break
36%
+15%
Low Ride
37%
+14%
Breaking (L)
38%
+9%
8.9% of Tyler Freeman's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 9.5% lower than the league average. A.J. Puk strikes out 20.7% of the batters he faces, which is 7.9% higher than the typical MLB rate.
18%
Strikeout
-9.5%
+7.9%
4%
Walk
-0.5%
-1.2%
35%
In Play
+10.0%
-6.7%
39%
On Base
+2.2%
-3.8%
31%
Hit
+2.7%
-2.6%
14%
Single
+1.8%
-1.2%
13%
2B / 3B
+1.9%
-1.0%
3%
Home Run
-1.0%
-0.4%
35.0% of Tyler Freeman's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 0.6% higher than the league average. A.J. Puk induces Standard Grounders at a 32.5% rate, which is 1.9% lower than the typical MLB rate.
0%
Squib/Bunt
+1.7%
+0.1%
34%
Standard Grounder
+0.6%
-1.9%
7%
Hard Grounder
-1.6%
+0.3%
14%
Low Screamer
+0.7%
+2.0%
9%
Rising Liner
-2.6%
+1.1%
4%
Maybe Homer
-1.0%
-2.8%
3%
Likely Homer
-1.2%
+1.0%
1%
No Doubter
-0.1%
-0.7%
20%
Routine Flyout
-0.4%
+0.1%
3%
Pop up
+3.7%
+0.9%
21.4% of Tyler Freeman's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 2.9% lower than the league average. 20.8% of batted balls allowed by A.J. Puk are hit at above 100 mph, which is 3.4% lower than the typical MLB rate.
16%
Below 75 mph
+2.5%
+3.5%
21%
75 to 86 mph
+2.6%
+1.5%
18%
87 to 93 mph
-2.0%
-2.1%
19%
94 to 99 mph
-0.3%
+0.5%
24%
Above 100 mph
-2.9%
-3.4%
11.2% of Tyler Freeman's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 0.3% lower than the league average. 10.1% of batted balls allowed by A.J. Puk are hit at this angle, which is 1.4% lower than the typical MLB rate.
17%
Below -10°
+2.2%
+0.2%
12%
-10 to 0°
-1.8%
-2.3%
8%
1 to 6°
-0.3%
+0.0%
18%
7 to 18°
-0.3%
+1.6%
15%
19 to 28°
-1.3%
-1.5%
11%
29 to 38°
-0.3%
-1.4%
7%
39 to 50°
-1.2%
+2.5%
8%
Above 50°
+2.8%
+1.0%
Tyler Freeman has 3 plate appearances against A.J. Puk in the last 3 years. He is 1 for 3 with a home run and
| PA | AB | H | HR | 2/3B | 1B | K | BB | Avg | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | 3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.333 |
| Expected From Contact → | 1.59 | 0.97 | 0.16 | 0.46 | 0.529 | ||||
| Expected From Contact | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Date | Outcome | HR | 2/3B | 1B | Out |
| 2024-08-07 | Flyout | 15% | 12% | 73% | |
| 2024-06-09 | Home Run | 97% | 1% | 2% | |
| 2023-04-22 | Forceout | 34% | 66% | ||
Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.
