Matchup Machine

Tyler Freeman

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matchup for Marcus Stroman

238th out of 436 (Worst 46%)

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Marcus Stroman

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matchup for Tyler Freeman

29th out of 567 (Best 6%)

Extreme advantage for Freeman
10

Model Prediction

Tyler Freeman has a 37.8% chance of reaching base vs Marcus Stroman, which is 4.8% higher than Freeman's typical expectations, and 0.2% higher than batters facing Stroman.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction37.8%30.1%1.7%5.4%22.9%7.8%11.5%
Freeman+4.8+5.7-0.1+0.0+5.7-0.8-3.9
Stroman+0.2+1.2-1.0-0.4+2.6-1.0-6.7

Handedness and Release Point

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Tyler Freeman is worse vs right-handed pitching. Marcus Stroman is right handed with an over-the-top delivery. Freeman has a D+ grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Marcus Stroman throws a Sinker 40% of the time. Tyler Freeman has a D grade against right-handed Sinkers

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    Sinker (R)
40%
   Slider (R)
18%
   Cutter (R)
15%
   Splitter (R)
11%
   Curve (R)
10%
   4-Seam (R)
6%

Contact and Outcomes

8.9% of Tyler Freeman's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 9.5% lower than the league average. Marcus Stroman strikes out 13.5% of the batters he faces, which is 3.1% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 18%         Strikeout -9.5% -3.1% 4%         Walk -0.5% -0.8% 35%         In Play +10.0% +3.9% 39%         On Base +2.3% +3.0% 31%         Hit +2.7% +3.8% 14%         Single +1.8% +2.4% 13%         2B / 3B +1.9% +2.4% 3%         Home Run -1.0% -1.1%

History

No History in the last 3 years