Matchup Machine

Tyler Freeman

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matchup for Tyler Anderson

239th out of 436 (Worst 45%)

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Tyler Anderson

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matchup for Tyler Freeman

289th out of 567 (Worst 49%)

Strong advantage for Freeman
6

Model Prediction

Tyler Freeman has a 32.9% chance of reaching base vs Tyler Anderson, which is 0.1% higher than Freeman's typical expectations, and 0.8% lower than batters facing Anderson.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction32.9%22.9%2.0%5.1%15.8%10.1%12.9%
Freeman-0.1-1.5+0.2-0.3-1.5+1.5-2.5
Anderson-0.8+0.6-0.9-0.1+1.6-1.4-8.7

Handedness and Release Point

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Tyler Freeman is better vs left-handed pitching. Tyler Anderson is left handed with an over-the-top delivery. Freeman doesn't have many appearances against this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Tyler Anderson throws a 4-seam fastball 38% of the time. Tyler Freeman has a C+ grade against left-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    4-Seam (L)
38%
   Changeup (L)
32%
   Cutter (L)
22%
   Sinker (L)
7%

Contact and Outcomes

8.9% of Tyler Freeman's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 9.5% lower than the league average. Tyler Anderson strikes out 14.6% of the batters he faces, which is 1.9% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 18%         Strikeout -9.5% -1.9% 4%         Walk -0.5% -1.0% 35%         In Play +10.0% +2.9% 39%         On Base +2.3% -0.1% 31%         Hit +2.7% +0.9% 14%         Single +1.8% +0.5% 13%         2B / 3B +1.9% +0.6% 3%         Home Run -1.0% -0.2%

History

Tyler Freeman has 3 plate appearances against Tyler Anderson in the last 3 years. He is 0 for 3.

PA AB H HR 2/3B 1B K BB Avg
Actual330000000.000
Expected From Contact →0.800.000.410.390.267
Expected From Contact
Date Outcome HR 2/3B 1B Out
2023-09-09Lineout35%25%40%
2023-09-09Lineout6%7%87%
2023-09-09Groundout7%93%

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.