Tyler Freeman has a 34.4% chance of reaching base vs Martin Perez, which is 1.4% higher than Freeman's typical expectations, and 0.2% higher than batters facing Perez.
Reach | Hit | HR | 2B / 3B | 1B | BB | K | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Prediction | 34.4% | 26.5% | 2.2% | 5.6% | 18.7% | 8.0% | 11.4% |
Freeman | +1.4 | +2.1 | +0.4 | +0.2 | +1.5 | -0.6 | -4.0 |
Perez | -0.2 | +1.2 | -0.8 | +0.2 | +1.8 | -1.4 | -7.0 |
Tyler Freeman is better vs left-handed pitching. Martin Perez is left handed with an over-the-top delivery. Freeman doesn't have many appearances against this particular release point.
Martin Perez throws a Sinker 34% of the time. Tyler Freeman hasn't faced this pitch from left handers very often.
8.9% of Tyler Freeman's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 9.5% lower than the league average. Martin Perez strikes out 11.9% of the batters he faces, which is 6.1% lower than the typical MLB rate.
Tyler Freeman has 1 plate appearance against Martin Perez in the last 3 years. He is 0 for 1.
PA | AB | H | HR | 2/3B | 1B | K | BB | Avg | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Actual | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.000 |
Expected From Contact → | 0.47 | 0.00 | 0.09 | 0.38 | 0.469 |
Expected From Contact | |||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Date | Outcome | HR | 2/3B | 1B | Out |
2023-09-16 | Lineout | 9% | 38% | 53% |
Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.