Matchup Machine

Tyler Freeman

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matchup for Martin Perez

264th out of 436 (Worst 40%)

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Martin Perez

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matchup for Tyler Freeman

122nd out of 567 (Best 22%)

Strong advantage for Freeman
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Model Prediction

Tyler Freeman has a 34.4% chance of reaching base vs Martin Perez, which is 1.4% higher than Freeman's typical expectations, and 0.2% higher than batters facing Perez.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction34.4%26.5%2.2%5.6%18.7%8.0%11.4%
Freeman+1.4+2.1+0.4+0.2+1.5-0.6-4.0
Perez-0.2+1.2-0.8+0.2+1.8-1.4-7.0

Handedness and Release Point

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Tyler Freeman is better vs left-handed pitching. Martin Perez is left handed with an over-the-top delivery. Freeman doesn't have many appearances against this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Martin Perez throws a Sinker 34% of the time. Tyler Freeman hasn't faced this pitch from left handers very often.

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    Sinker (L)
34%
   Changeup (L)
25%
   Cutter (L)
25%
   4-Seam (L)
8%
   Curve (L)
7%

Contact and Outcomes

8.9% of Tyler Freeman's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 9.5% lower than the league average. Martin Perez strikes out 11.9% of the batters he faces, which is 6.1% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 18%         Strikeout -9.5% -6.1% 4%         Walk -0.5% -0.3% 35%         In Play +10.0% +6.4% 39%         On Base +2.3% +5.9% 31%         Hit +2.7% +6.3% 14%         Single +1.8% +3.5% 13%         2B / 3B +1.9% +3.3% 3%         Home Run -1.0% -0.6%

History

Tyler Freeman has 1 plate appearance against Martin Perez in the last 3 years. He is 0 for 1.

PA AB H HR 2/3B 1B K BB Avg
Actual110000000.000
Expected From Contact →0.470.000.090.380.469
Expected From Contact
Date Outcome HR 2/3B 1B Out
2023-09-16Lineout9%38%53%

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.