Matchup Machine

Luis Garcia

sometext

matchup for Jordan Hicks

277th out of 436 (Worst 37%)

sometext

Jordan Hicks

sometext

matchup for Luis Garcia

48th out of 567 (Best 9%)

Extreme advantage for Garcia
10

Model Prediction

Luis Garcia has a 36.8% chance of reaching base vs Jordan Hicks, which is 5.2% higher than Garcia's typical expectations, and 1.5% lower than batters facing Hicks.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction36.8%30.0%2.7%5.5%21.9%6.8%14.1%
Garcia+5.2+3.5-0.2+0.3+3.4+1.7-4.6
Hicks-1.5+5.20.0+0.2+5.0-6.6-6.4

Handedness and Release Point

Click on a grade for a detailed view

Luis Garcia is about the same vs right-handed pitching as he is against left. Jordan Hicks is right handed with a moderate release toward the third base side. Garcia has an A grade vs this particular release point.

Left Arrow
Show Vertical Release

On the Way to the Plate

Click on a grade for a detailed view

Jordan Hicks throws a Sinker 63% of the time. Luis Garcia has an A- grade against right-handed Sinkers

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    Sinker (R)
63%
   Slider (R)
25%
   Splitter (R)
6%

Contact and Outcomes

9.9% of Luis Garcia's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 8.0% lower than the league average. Jordan Hicks strikes out 13.3% of the batters he faces, which is 1.7% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 17%         Strikeout -8.0% -1.7% 6%         Walk -3.2% +1.8% 35%         In Play +11.2% -0.1% 39%         On Base +4.1% +2.9% 31%         Hit +7.3% +1.1% 14%         Single +3.2% +0.7% 13%         2B / 3B +3.4% +0.8% 3%         Home Run +0.7% -0.4%

History

Luis Garcia has 5 plate appearances against Jordan Hicks in the last 3 years. He is 2 for 5.

PA AB H HR 2/3B 1B K BB Avg
Actual552002000.400
Expected From Contact →0.980.000.060.920.196
Expected From Contact
Date Outcome HR 2/3B 1B Out
2024-04-10Single36%64%
2024-04-10Groundout8%92%
2023-07-14Groundout7%93%
2022-09-08Single5%37%57%
2022-09-06Groundout4%96%

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.