Matchup Machine

      Luis Garcia

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      matchup for Elvin Rodriguez

      423rd out of 436 (Worst 3%)

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      Elvin Rodriguez

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      matchup for Luis Garcia

      out of 564 (Worst %)

      Extreme advantage for Garcia
      10

      Model Prediction

      Luis Garcia has a 36.6% chance of reaching base vs Elvin Rodriguez, which is 4.7% higher than Garcia's typical expectations, and 3.4% higher than batters facing Rodriguez.

      Handedness and Release Point

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      Luis Garcia is about the same vs right-handed pitching as he is against left. Elvin Rodriguez is right handed with a horizontal release toward the third base side. Garcia has an A grade vs this particular release point.

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      On the Way to the Plate

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      Elvin Rodriguez throws a 4-seam fastball 51% of the time. Luis Garcia has an A grade against right-handed 4-seamers

      Pitch Type % of Arsenal    4-Seam (R)
      51%
         Slider (R)
      21%
         Changeup (R)
      13%
         Curve (R)
      12%

      Contact and Outcomes

      9.9% of Luis Garcia's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 8.0% lower than the league average. Elvin Rodriguez strikes out 16.4% of the batters he faces, which is 6.5% higher than the typical MLB rate.

      MLB Typical BP Label 17%         Strikeout -8.0% +6.5% 6%         Walk -3.2% +4.1% 35%         In Play +11.2% -10.5% 39%         On Base +4.1% +8.4% 31%         Hit +7.3% +4.3% 14%         Single +3.2% +0.1% 13%         2B / 3B +3.4% +0.5% 3%         Home Run +0.7% +3.7%

      History

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